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Record W6994453080

The retail outlook

2017· article· en· W6994453080 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueInsight (University of Cumbria) · 2017
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldBusiness, Management and Accounting
TopicConsumer Retail Behavior Studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSpeculationQuarter (Canadian coin)Retail salesForecast periodConsumer confidence indexConsumption (sociology)Value (mathematics)Personal consumption expenditures price index
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Professor Frank Peck of the University of Cumbria’s Centre for Regional Economic Development writes for in-Cumbria on the big issues of the day and the economic data behind them. This month, he focuses on Cumbria’s retailing sector. December is a big month for retailers. It is fair to say that retailers continue to live through a period of extraordinary change. The challenges include, on the one hand, seismic shifts in consumer behaviour involving use of mobile technology while on the other, increasing uncertainty arising from debates surrounding Brexit and consumers’ perceptions of their future job prospects. In this context, there is much speculation about the outlook for retailing over the Christmas period and beyond. The Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) met in early November 2017 and noted that “recent indicators of consumption had been mixed”. Retail sales volumes had fallen in September, but risen over the third quarter as a whole. Other surveys appeared to indicate a recent fall in retail volumes though consumer confidence was reported to have recovered slightly in October. The Office for National Statistics has recently released data comparing October 2017 with the same month in the previous year. Overall, sales value for this month is up by over 2.5 per cent though sales volume in slightly down, the difference largely accounted for by a rise in average store prices.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesScience and technology studies
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.542
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0020.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.045
GPT teacher head0.216
Teacher spread0.171 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it