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Record W6997022520

Trade agreement may affect people’s health

2018· other· en· W6997022520 on OpenAlexaboutno aff

Bibliographic record

VenueResearchSpace (University of Auckland) · 2018
Typeother
Languageen
FieldBusiness, Management and Accounting
TopicGlobal Public Health Policies and Epidemiology
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsGeneral partnershipClimate changeIndigenousContext (archaeology)Public healthDisadvantagedMental healthGlobal health
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The new Trans Pacific Partnership agreement will have an undeniable influence on the future health of New Zealanders and needs the full attention of the nation’s health professionals. The rebranded Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPPA), now known as the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for TransPacific Partnership (CPTPP) pays lip service to broader social and environmental concerns, but privileges transnational and foreign investors over human and environmental health. This article focuses on the CPTPP in the context of the global climate crisis and its potential impacts on health. There is scientific consensus on the harmful effects of climate change on health – so much so that it is identified as the most serious threat to global public health this century. Direct impacts include death, illness and injury due to extreme weather events. Indirect impacts include shifting patterns of infectious disease, air pollution, freshwater contamination, impacts on the built environment from sea level rise, forced migration, economic collapse, conflict over scarce resources and increasing food insecurity. Mental health impacts are also significant, particularly within indigenous and socioeconomically disadvantaged communities. Climate change is already affecting New Zealanders’ health, according to a recent Royal Society report, particularly in vulnerable groups: children, elderly, low-income, Māori and Pacific populations. Yet significant health benefits could be achieved through reduction of emissions in sectors such as transport, housing, energy and agriculture. Indeed, tackling and mitigating climate change could be the greatest global health opportunity of the 21st century – but governments must be willing to make bold changes in social and economic policy. The Paris Agreement, signed in April 2016, represents a significant step towards addressing climate change threats partly by reducing carbon-intensive industry. Yet this commitment is directly at odds with the binding rules of the CPTPP. It is vital therefore to examine how the treaty might threaten essential government action on climate change. Only six of the 30 chapters of the CPTPP deal with trade in goods such as meat, milk and motorcars. The rest of the 6,000 pages cover matters such as electronic commerce, government procurement, labour and environment. Nowhere is the term “climate change” mentioned. There is oblique acknowledgment of the climate crisis in Chapter 20 which states: “transition to a low emissions economy requires collective action” and that the parties “shall cooperate to address matters of joint or common interest” such as “development of cost-effective, low emissions technologies and alternative, clean and renewable energy sources”. There is also recognition of other environmental issues including ship pollution of the marine environment, depletion of the ozone layer, overfishing and conservation of flora, fauna and natural resources. But it is important to realise from a legal standpoint that these soft acknowledgements contrast starkly with enforceable rules designed to protect the profitability of foreign investments. The CPTPP would limit the New Zealand government’s regulatory powers and override democratic legislation. There are strong and expansive rights for foreign investors through the investor-state dispute settlement (ISDS) mechanism. This allows foreign investors to sue governments if they adopt regulations that, for example, erode the expected value of assets through environmental regulations such as the phasing out of fossil fuel extraction. These protections are not available to New Zealand citizens and businesses, yet they extend to “every asset that [a foreign] investor owns or controls, directly or indirectly, that has the characteristics of an investment, including such characteristics as the commitment of capital or other resources, the expectation of gain or profit, or the assumption of risk”. For instance, a Canadian energy company brought a claim of US$15 billion against the US under the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) after the Obama administration cancelled construction of the Keystone XL pipeline on environmental grounds including concerns about climate change. The fundamental objective of treaties like the CPTPP is to protect investor business interests (primarily transnational corporations) by limiting the legislative power of future governments, even if they gain a democratic mandate for change. The Labour-led Government has launched into its first term with bold plans to align New Zealand’s economy with priorities dictated by the urgency of the climate crisis which includes introducing a Zero Carbon Bill that sets a 2050 target for net-zero carbon emissions. Health professionals will have the opportunity to contribute to the nationwide consultation beginning in May. Ironically, the Government’s ambition will be seriously undercut if it signs a treaty that underwrites the economic status quo and creates strong legal headwinds for essential regulatory action. A systematic and independent assessment of the CPTPP’s anticipated impacts on climate disruption, and on mitigation strategies, should be undertaken and released for public discussion before the treaty is ratified. The assessment should also include an analysis of the projected impacts on population health and equity. Such an assessment is particularly critical as climate change poses such clear risks to the health of New Zealanders, and the constraints on climate action conferred by the CPTPP (as presently formulated) would prevent important steps to protect our health and create a fairer society.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: Other
Teacher disagreement score0.176
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0090.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.043
GPT teacher head0.314
Teacher spread0.272 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2018
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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