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Record W6997080097

2020: A time to remember

2020· article· en· W6997080097 on OpenAlexaboutno aff

Bibliographic record

VenueInsight (University of Cumbria) · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicRegional resilience and development
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPessimismQuarter (Canadian coin)PandemicCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)Outbreak
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Professor Frank Peck, of the University of Cumbria’s Centre for Regional Economic Development,says we must look beyond the current Covid-19 crisis and hope for a less pessimistic future.
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\nThe first quarter of 2020 will be remembered. Only a few weeks ago, we might have thought that the UK’s formal departure from the EU on January 31 would be the standout event. But in the short term, leaving the EU has been completely overshadowed by the threats posed by the spread of Covid-19. Officially declared a pandemic by the World Health Organisation on March 11, the situation has developed rapidly. There is still much uncertainty surrounding the details of this disease; exactly how it spreads; how contagious it is; when it might reach a peak in different countries; what impacts the mitigation measures might have on economies. Experience of previous outbreaks of disease has clearly informed responses to the current crisis. While one outbreak cannot be used to predict the precise outcome of another, previous research does provide understanding of the types of economic impacts that are likely.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.509
Threshold uncertainty score0.997

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.013

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.033
GPT teacher head0.172
Teacher spread0.139 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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