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Record W6999233874

Corporate insolvencies in times of COVID-19

2021· other· de· W6999233874 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueMADOC (University of Mannheim) · 2021
Typeother
Languagede
FieldBusiness, Management and Accounting
TopicCorporate Insolvency and Governance
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsInsolvencyBankruptcyQuarter (Canadian coin)GermanService (business)
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

After the outbreak of the COVID-19 crisis, the number of insolvency filings has reached a record low in 2020. However, industry sectors are affected differently. In the early phase of the COVID-19 crisis, the number of insolvencies in the service sector decreased most substantially. In the third quarter of 2020, we observe increasing insolvency numbers throughout all sectors that have, however, not reached pre-crisis level yet. Our analysis shows a pronounced decrease of insolvent micro firms with at most 10 employees until September 2020 while insolvency declarations among micro firms are rising again in the third quarter of 2020. Businesses with fully liable owners avoided insolvency filings to a much greater extent than companies with limited liability. Businesses with owners living abroad are more likely to file for insolvency. The COVID-19 crisis changed the age composition among insolvent entrepreneurs: The number of insolvency filings of older entrepreneurs (above 65 years) has started to catch up with the numbers among young entrepreneurs (below 35 years). In the age groups (35 -50 and 51-65 years) we see a strong decrease in insolvency filings. Insolvency declarations among firms located in Western Germany have dropped more sharply than the numbers in Eastern Germany resulting in a slight increase in the share of Eastern German insolvency filings. We observe no major shifts in the age composition of insolvent firms, the gender composition of insolvent entrepreneurs and entrepreneurial team size.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: Other
Teacher disagreement score0.296
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0440.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.041
GPT teacher head0.205
Teacher spread0.164 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it