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Record W7000052238

On the effects of northern hemisphere cooling on atmospheric circulation patterns in the Eastern Mediterranean: The 8.2 kyr B.P. climatic event at Tenaghi Philippon

2018· dissertation· en· W7000052238 on OpenAlexaboutno aff

Bibliographic record

VenuePublication Server of Goethe University Frankfurt am Main (Goethe University Frankfurt) · 2018
Typedissertation
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicGeology and Paleoclimatology Research
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsTeleconnectionPrecipitationAbrupt climate changeAtmospheric circulationClimate changeNorthern HemispherePaleoclimatologyMeltwaterClimate model
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Despite mounting evidence of the anthropogenic influence on the Earth's climate, underlying mechanisms of climate change often remain elusive. The investigation of periods of rapid climate change from geological archives may provide crucial information about magnitude, duration, teleconnections of and regional responses to global and hemispheric scale climate perturbations. Thus, paleoclimate reconstructions may help in mitigating and adapting to the challenges of the coming decades. The '8.2 kyr B.P. climatic event' has previously been proposed as a possible analogue for the future climatic scenario of a reduced Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). The catastrophic drainage of the Laurentide meltwater lakes through the Hudson Bay and into the Labrador Sea, that occurred ca. 8.47 kyr B.P., caused the slowdown of the AMOC around 8.2 kyr B.P.. Subsequently, reduced heat transfer towards Europe triggered a substantial decline in (winter) temperature and pronounced changes in atmospheric circulation patterns in many regions of the northern hemisphere, especially the North Atlantic realm and Europe. Among the regions affected by the 8.2 kyr B.P. climatic event, the Eastern Mediterranean region is of particular interest for both past and future climate developments. Traditionally characterized as a region highly sensitive to variations in the climate systems of the high and low latitudes, abrupt climate changes have the potential to strongly alter atmospheric circulation patterns and thus precipitation distribution in the region that may have severe socioeconomical consequences. The analysis of stable hydrogen (δD) and oxygen isotopes (δ18O) in precipitation is an excellent tool to trace changes in atmospheric circulation. Here, we present a comparative study of δD and δ18O in precipitation from the Eastern Mediterranean region both in a present day scenario and during the 8.2 kyr B.P. climatic event. We analyze the influences of topography, air mass trajectory, climate and seasonality among others the stable isotopic compositions of meteoric waters from the Central Anatolian Plateau (CAP), Turkey, in order to create a first-order template which may serve as a reference against which paleoenvironmental proxy data may be more accurately interpreted and tested. Further, we employ a multiproxy approach on the early Holocene peat deposits of the classical site of Tenaghi Philippon (TP), NE Greece, to investigate paleoenvironmental responses to northern hemisphere cooling during the 8.2 kyr B.P. climatic event and aim to determine changes atmospheric circulation from δD of leaf wax n-alkanes (δDwax). Based on δD and δ18O data from more than 480 surface water samples from the CAP, we characterize moisture sources affecting the net isotopic budget of precipitation, manifesting in a systematic north-south difference in near-sea level moisture compositions. Rainout, induced by the major orographic barriers of the plateau, the Pontic Mountains to the north and the Taurus Mountains to the south, strongly shape the modern patterns of δD and δ18O. Stable isotope data from the semi-arid plateau interior provide clear evidence for an evaporitic regime that drastically affects surface water compositions. Strong evaporative enrichment contrasts rainfall patterns along the plateau margins, in part obfuscating the effects of topography and air mass trajectory. Consequently, in order to address possible influences of evaporation on δD and δ18O in paleoprecipitation from TP, we analyze n-alkane abundances and distributions along with stable carbon isotope compositions of total organic carbon (δ13CTOC) and palynological data to estimate surface moisture conditions during the early Holocene (ca. 8.7 - 7.5 kyr B.P.) and especially during the 8.2 kyr B.P. climatic event. A period of relatively dry surface conditions from ca. 8.7 to 8.2 kyr B.P., indicated by low values of the 'aquatic index' (Paq ) and by elevated Average Chain Length (ACL) values, in concert with elevated δ13CTOC values, precedes the 8.2 kyr B.P. climatic event. The event itself is characterized by slightly wetter, more humid conditions, as suggested by an increase in Paq values as well as reduced ACL and δ13CTOC values between ca. 8.2 and 7.9 kyr B.P.. In the upper section of the core, a distinct change in paleohydrology becomes. A steep increase in Paq and a decrease in ACL values as well as variations in δ13CTOC from 7.9 kyr B.P. onwards imply considerably elevated surface moisture levels, likely caused by the increased activity of the karstic system of the surrounding mountains. Collectively, the biomarker proxies presented here, reveal a concise picture of changing moisture conditions at TP that is consistent with palynological data and provide detailed paleoenvironmental information for the analysis of δDwax as a paleoprecipitation proxy. The long-term decline in δDwax values characterizes the lower section of the core until ca. 8.2 kyr B.P.. The 8.2 kyr B.P. climatic event itself is connected to two distinct positive hydrogen isotope excursions: a minor shift in δDwax around 8.2 kyr B.P. and a major shift in δDwax between ca. 8.1 and 8.0 kyr B.P.. The upper part of the section shows a progressive trend towards higher δDwax values. With no indication of increased evaporitic conditions at TP during the 8.2 kyr B.P. climatic event, as evident in biomarker proxies and pollen data, we link shifts in δDwax to changes in Mediterranean air mass trajectories supplying precipitation to northeastern Greece, with variations in the relative contributions of northerly derived, D-depleted moisture and southerly-derived, D-enriched moisture. Possible control mechanisms include changes in the influence of the Siberian High and differences in the influence of the African and Asian monsoon circulations on anticyclonic conditions in the Mediterranean region as well as regional inflow of moist air from the Aegean Sea.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.063
Threshold uncertainty score0.126

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.012
GPT teacher head0.210
Teacher spread0.198 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2018
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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