Stronger Manufacturing Growth Expected in the Second Quarter
Bibliographic record
Abstract
ORANGE, CA -According to a survey of purchasing managers, the California manufacturing economy is expected to expand at a higher rate in the second quarter of 2019 compared to the first quarter."The California Composite Index, measuring overall manufacturing activity, increased from 61.2 in the first quarter to 63.3 in the second quarter, indicating a higher growth rate" said Dr. Raymond Sfeir, director of the purchasing managers' survey.This is happening at the same time that the national economy added 541,000 jobs in the first quarter of 2019.Production, inventories of purchased materials, new orders and employment are expected to grow at a higher rate compared to the first quarter.Commodity prices are expected to rise at a slower rate for the fourth consecutive quarter.Supplier deliveries are expected to slow at a slower rate.Respondents commented on the increase in wages and the high cost of living in California which are leading firms to shift either some of their operations or the whole manufacturing plant to other states.The trade dispute with China remains a critical issue to many purchasing managers.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.026 | 0.004 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".