Global governance exit: A Bolivian case study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper describes three Bolivian policy reversals on aid, trade and climate change. The standard IPE explanation for policy reversals - a change in the payoff of cooperation - often begs the question of why a small developing state might choose to restrict its global policy space in contexts of changing rules and power shifts. This paper offers three analytic narratives of policy reversals, and tries to make sense of "exit" from global governance, first, from the perspective of Bolivian foreign policy; and, second, from the perspective of the literature on international political economy. Not every problem of global governance is a "problem" for a small Andean economy, and vice versa; the constraints of small developing economies are unlikely to be "binding" for major players of the global economy. The paper concludes with some thoughts on how policy reversals illustrate the range of strategic behavior available to small states.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.008 | 0.008 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.005 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.006 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".