National Transfer Accounts : a new way to look at population change and economic growth
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Changes in population age structure are occurring more quickly today than at any time in human history, posing both opportunities and challenges for policymakers. Policymakers need to understand the likely consequences of demographic change in their own societies in order to develop sustainable programs in areas of healthcare, education, pensions and policies that foster economic growth and generational equity. To help fill this information need, the NTA project has initiated a series of short publications that summarize the results of NTA research for a broad policy audience. The first issue, published in January 2011, describes the project and highlights selected findings from four countries on labor income, consumption, transfers between generations, and the use of asset income. This new series is being produced with support from the International Development Research Centre (IDRC) of Canada.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.008 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.006 | 0.013 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.006 | 0.021 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.050 | 0.005 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".