Fertilität, Familienpolitik und Wohlfahrtsregime
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper is inspired by the many similarities between gendered welfare state research and demographic research on the determinants of fertility.The fi rst part of the paper discusses some of the theories on childbearing in the light of the gendered welfare state theory.One important similarity between these two genres is that when work-life choices are studied, the emphasis is on policies which enable women to reconcile employment and family.Support for informal care is accordingly treated as having a negative infl uence on work-life compatibility, and women are moreover assumed to have homogeneous preferences, i.e., they are supposed to want to combine work and family.However, such an approach does not pay suffi cient attention to informal care and to heterogeneity among women, either when it comes to preferences or to behaviour.To address these gaps, in the second part of the paper a new framework to analyse women's work-life choices is developed.The suggested framework gives considerable attention to the way in which formal as well as informal care is supported or enforced in different welfare states and the consequences such support has on women's decision making.Moreover, heterogeneity among women is emphasised, both in preferences and when it comes to behaviour.The central argument is that women's heterogeneous preferences transform differently to different lifestyle career strategies (with regard to employment and childbearing) in different welfare state settings, as each lifestyle strategy is encouraged or discouraged by family policy to differing degrees.Hence, the number of women who choose a particular strategy, as well as the level of fertility, varies between the welfare states.In addition, household resources are assumed to infl uence the choices that are being made.The argument that is put forward is illustrated with recent data on family policy, women's employment patterns and fertility in the social-democratic (Denmark, Finland, Norway, Sweden), conservative (Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain) and liberal welfare states (Australia, Canada, Ireland, the UK, the USA).Moreover, a reinterpretation of the fi ndings on the relationship between family policy, female employment and fertility is provided in the light of the framework outlined.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it