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Record W7041632273

The Last Actuary

2020· article· en· W7041632273 on OpenAlexaff

Bibliographic record

VenueResearch Portal (Queen's University Belfast) · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicProbability and Statistical Research
Canadian institutionsQueen's University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsActuaryCompetition (biology)Product (mathematics)Big dataNew product developmentBusiness model
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The essays in this competition were asked to explore several aspects of how technology transformations are likely to impact actuarial practice innovation in the future, including: • How actuaries have designed innovative solutions using more advanced approaches than in the past • Collaborative efforts where actuaries have championed innovation across a wide array of professions • Using new sources of big data to drive product development and bring new products to market • Designing more dynamic models that can readily be adjusted as new information becomes available A panel of judges reviewed the essays for publication and awards. The judges selected three essays for awards, one for an honorable mention and a further three for publication. Consideration was given to creativity, relevance, and economic and business impact. Article available here: https://proactuary.com/the-last-actuary/

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.008
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.034
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: Other
Teacher disagreement score0.103
Threshold uncertainty score0.345

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0080.034
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.001
Science and technology studies0.0100.004
Scholarly communication0.0210.005
Open science0.0020.005
Research integrity0.0080.010
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.1030.050

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.083
GPT teacher head0.349
Teacher spread0.266 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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