The UK economy on a knife edge as we enter election year
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Early January 2024, election year, and the news is dominated by air strikes in Yemen as maritime trade is being disrupted, the Post office scandal and HS2 costs continuing to rise. Meanwhile, even the good news about inflation is clouding over despite record drops in grocery price inflation, recruitment demand apparently slowing down and weak retail volumes in December and over Christmas according to the British Retail Consortiumi(BRC). It is true that in Europe, annual inflation moved up to 2.9% in December from 2.4% the previous month and in the US from 3.1% to 3.4%ii. The result has been a revision of views on when interest rates are likely to start coming down with many commentators now suggesting that it won’t happen until much later in the year- possibly not until the last quarter of 2024.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.005 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.006 | 0.004 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.016 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".