Metropolitan Report - April 2008
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The United States economy is predicted to see its growth near zero in the first quarter of 2008 and then to recover slowly.Whether the economy experiences a recession in technical terms, the pain of a national economic slowdown is a reality. With low levels of unemployment due to reduced population and the stimulus of the rebuilding effort, it is likely that New Orleans will be somewhat insulated from the national economic downturn. In New Orleans, initial unemployment claims fell from an average of about 860 per week prior to Katrina to less than 400 per week in contrast to the sharp rise in claims at the national level during the first quarter of the year. With Katrina, New Orleans lost about 30 years of population growth.The population is still recovering, but the rate has slowed from the quick rate of return right after the storm.The forecast is for population to average 1,174,000 in 2009. Both population and employment are at about 86% of pre-Katrina values.Population and jobs are recovering at similar rates. Improvements are continuing in the tourism sector.With 7.1 million visitors to New Orleans in 2007, tourism has seen a stronger than expected movement towards recovery.However, higher costs in the industry and a national economic slowdown may slow the recovery in 2008.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.144 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".