Sea Level Rise and Commercial Office Markets in Southeast Florida
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Sea level rise is an indisputably mounting predicament that has exacerbated consequences in Southeast Florida. In this thesis, we explore the impacts of sea level rise risk in commercial office markets in Miami-Dade County. We examine 560 commercial office properties with sale price records from 2000 to 2020, and 497 commercial office rental properties from 1988 quarter one through 2020 quarter four. For both sales and rental properties, we analyze each sample comprehensively, then we isolate the respective samples first by historic flood amount and then by flood risk metrics. We conclude by segregating properties in high-risk areas by historic flood amount to eradicate property location as a confounding variable. Our results suggest that properties that have historic exposure to flooding from either or both major recent hurricanes, Katrina in 2005 and Irma in 2017, have lower sales prices and rental values when compared to properties that have not experienced historic hurricane flooding in comparable flood risk zones. Our results also indicate that generally, commercial office properties that are more concentrated near waterfront areas have experienced greater historic flooding and have larger predicted flood risk than properties farther inland.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.024 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".