New World Notes 215 - Peak Oil, Peak Natural Gas, Peak Electricity... (Part 1)
Bibliographic record
Abstract
30-minute radio program for April 17, 2012. First of 2 parts. It's not just oil. With growing demand and declining supplies, all forms of energy will soon become very expensive. No alternative sources can produce as much energy as we are now obtaining from oil and natural gas--both of which are in decline. Some proposed alternatives (hydrogen, ethanol) are pipe-dreams. Is this the end of The American Way of Life? Probably. Several experts lucidly explain what's happpening and what we have to do. Experts speaking here include several petroleum scientists and engineers, urban planners James Howard Kunstler and Peter Calthorpe, energy investment broker Matthew Simmons, political analyst Michael Ruppert, and journalist Barrie Zwicker (narrator). Condensed and adapted by K.D. from the 2004 documentary film, "The End of Suburbia." http://newworldnotes.blogspot.com/ . Permanent link to the entry for this installment: http://newworldnotes.blogspot.com/2012/04/peak-oil-peak-natural-gas-peak.html
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.682 | 0.604 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; the direct Gemma label and the distilled Codex classifier agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".