Team for Advanced Research on Globalization, Education and Technology
Bibliographic record
Abstract
A common explanation for the decline in unionization maintains that structural change has led to employment shifts away from sectors that are highly unionized and towards sectors with low union density. This paper examines the decline of unionization in Canada and the United States during 1984- 1998-- a period in which union coverage fell by 8 percentage points in the United States and 7 percentage points in Canada. We find that structural factors account for little of the observed change in union density-- about 20 percent of the American decline and none of the Canadian decline. The remainder is due to a substantial fall in the likelihood of a worker with a given set of characteristics being unionized. Factors that might cause such a drop include increased management opposition to unions, changes in legislation that make union organizing more difficult and growth in union substitute services. Key words: Union density, structural change, Canada-U.S. unionization gap
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.009 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.004 | 0.008 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.005 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.247 | 0.047 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".