WORONUK CANADIAN GAS SUPPLY: GOING UP? OR DOWN?
Bibliographic record
Abstract
While Canada contains significant natural gas resources, gas supply over the near term will rely heavily on the exploitation of the conventional potential of the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin (WCSB) and the Sable Sub-Basin on the Canadian east coast. There are clear trends suggesting that the gas market is moving from a supply/demand balance controlled by demand to one controlled by supply. Consumption of WCSB gas has been greater than reserve additions for all but one of the last sixteen years. Of necessity, consumption cannot grow (or even be maintained) indefinitely under such a regime. This paper argues that the cessation of ever increasing production from the WCSB is imminent and that a more aggressive approach to exploration and development in the WCSB (particularly in the deeper and more environmentally sensitive areas) together with the exploitation of conventional gas in frontier areas and unconventional resources will be necessary to arrest the projected supply declines. 1 WORONUK
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.005 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.011 | 0.003 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.007 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.028 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".