Extension Responds: Feed supplies
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Natural gas and propane prices have been increasing over the past few years due to increasing demand and the continued instability in oil producing areas of the world. In May of this year natural gas prices spiked unexpectedly and hit an all time high of $6.75 per mmBtu on the NYMEX commodity exchange. Future prices for September and October are running 15 % higher than a year ago and November’s future price are running 33 % higher. Prices in the first quarter of 2004 were 92 % higher than the same period 5 years ago. Propane Futures have also taken a dramatic jump in the futures markets for September deliveries, reaching record levels at $0.87 per gallon, 57 % above September 2003 prices and 77 % higher than the 5-year average price. Natural gas or propane is a major cost of high temperature grain drying. The long-term natural gas price forecast predicts prices to decline only about 5 % as new wells come on line. Current future prices for natural gas in October-November 2005 are above the $6.00 per mmBtu mark, higher than the current future prices for this fall and propane futures for next fall are currently $0.74.gallon, 51 % above the 5-year average. Political instability and high demand will continue to affect future prices. More information on what drives propane prices can be found at
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.734 | 0.452 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; the direct Gemma label and the distilled Codex classifier agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".