The Personal Vote in Parliamentary Systems:
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The conventional wisdom regarding Westminster parliamentary systems argues the irrelevance of local candidates to electoral results, focusing instead on the importance of party label and the image of party leaders. The professionalization of politics over the past half-century calls for a reexamination of this notion, however. Members of parliament are performing more constituency services, backed by more extensive resources, than has been the case in the past in the hope of cultivating a base of personal support within their districts. Recent studies in Great Britain and Canada have highlighted the existence of a significant electoral advantage for incumbents, yet statistical studies of the electoral impact of incumbency in the Australian context are lacking. This paper seeks to investigate whether the emergence of the career politician has resulted in tangible electoral benefits on polling day. Specifically, the paper will test for the existence and potential growth of an incumbency
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it