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Record W7104816857

Searching for Electromagnetic Counterpart Candidates to GW231123

2025· article· W7104816857 on OpenAlexfundno aff

Bibliographic record

VenuearXiv (Cornell University) · 2025
Typearticle
Language
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicGamma-ray bursts and supernovae
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersLeibniz-GemeinschaftScience and Technology Facilities CouncilUniversity of Colorado BoulderNational Astronomical Observatories, Chinese Academy of SciencesUniversity of Illinois at Urbana-ChampaignOffice of ScienceMax-Planck-Institut für AstronomieLeibniz-Institut für Astrophysik PotsdamNew Mexico State UniversityNanjing UniversityOhio State UniversityHigher Education Discipline Innovation ProjectYale UniversityUniversity of TorontoSmithsonian InstitutionU.S. Department of EnergyNational Natural Science Foundation of ChinaLawrence Berkeley National LaboratoryDivision of Astronomical SciencesÉcole Polytechnique Fédérale de LausanneSpace Telescope Science InstituteUniversidad Nacional Autónoma de MéxicoJohns Hopkins UniversityHarvard UniversityChina National Textile and Apparel CouncilNational Science FoundationYunnan UniversityCalifornia Institute of TechnologyCarnegie Institution of WashingtonGordon and Betty Moore FoundationSmithsonian Astrophysical ObservatoryFlatiron Health
KeywordsObservableFlareActive galactic nucleusEvent (particle physics)Baseline (sea)Channel (broadcasting)Transient (computer programming)
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The detection of GW231123, a gravitational-wave (GW) event with exceptionally massive and rapidly spinning black holes, suggests the possible formation within an active galactic nucleus (AGN) disk, which provides a favorable environment for potentially generating an observable electromagnetic (EM) counterpart. We conduct a search for such a counterpart by crossmatching the GW localization with a comprehensive catalog of AGN flares from the Zwicky Transient Facility. Our analysis yields six plausible optical flare candidates that are spatially and temporally coincident with GW231123 and exhibit significant deviations from their AGN baseline flux. Although these candidates represent a crucial first step, their true nature remains inconclusive. Confirming any one of these flares via future observations would provide a landmark validation of the AGN formation channel and unlock the multi-messenger potential of this extraordinary merger.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.002
Threshold uncertainty score0.007

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.025
GPT teacher head0.199
Teacher spread0.174 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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