Systems Immunology of Long Covid: Insights from the STOP-PASC Clinical Trial
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Post Acute Sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC), also referred to as Long COVID, is an infection-associated chronic syndrome with heterogenous symptom profiles that occurs in a subset of people following SARS-CoV-2 infection. Despite proposed viral persistence mechanisms, no therapeutic benefit was observed in two randomized placebo-controlled trials of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (NMV/r) in adults with Long COVID, including the Selective Trial of Paxlovid for PASC (STOP-PASC) and PAX LC. This systems immunology analysis aimed to characterize immune profiles of participants during clinical trial intervention, identify biomarkers associated with patient-reported outcomes, and investigate potential mechanisms underlying Long COVID. Methods We performed comprehensive immunological profiling of 152 STOP-PASC trial participants using plasma proteomics (Olink® Explore HT 5400 panel), autoantigen arrays, viral serology, and microclot assays at baseline, day 15, and week 10. We assessed associations between immune features and patient-reported outcomes. We also conducted meta-analysis of nine independent Long COVID proteomics cohorts (n=590 total samples) to identify conserved inflammatory signatures. Results NMV/r treatment at day 15 compared with baseline induced transient changes in plasma proteins that normalized by week 10, primarily impacting myeloid cell/monocyte, lysosome, and complement activation pathways. Cardiovascular symptoms were negatively associated with SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels at baseline. No widespread differences in autoantibody profiles, Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) reactivation, or microclotting were observed between STOP-PASC Long COVID participants, pre-pandemic controls, and individuals without Long COVID. Meta-analysis of publicly available Olink® data from Long COVID cohorts identified a conserved 60-protein Long COVID Signature (LCS) score revealing multi-compartment immune activation involving monocyte, neutrophil, and T/NK cell modules. Conclusions These findings advance our understanding of Long COVID immunology and may help direct future proteomic biomarker endpoints for Long COVID clinical trials.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.010 | 0.008 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".