Will Saddam Seek to Extend His Presidency?
Bibliographic record
Abstract
As the war on terrorism in Afghanistan winds down, attention turns to the next steps to be taken. Iraq ranks high in the discussions. From Baghdad's perspective, however, the current situation might not look so bad. Under the recent supervision of Qusai, Saddam Hussein's son, Iraq's foreign relations have been reshuffled. Relations with Iran have warmed; the process of exchanging prisoners of war has started. The Arab summit in Beirut resulted in an agreement with Kuwait on a similar issue. High-level discussions with the United Nations resumed last month. There is strong international resistance to a large-scale military assault against Iraq. Oil exports have loosened and a quarter of the oil sold by Iraq is exported to the United States. The embargo is crippled; diplomatic and economic relations with the Arab world are improving.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.004 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.005 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.011 | 0.069 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".