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Analysis of trends in world grain production

2024· article· en· W7125713470 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Sergey Shirokov, Alfiya Kuznetsova, I.R. Trushkina

Bibliographic record

VenueMezhdunarodnyi sel skokhozyaistvennyi zhurnal · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldAgricultural and Biological Sciences
TopicAgricultural Development and Policies
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersRussian Foundation for Basic Research
KeywordsProduction (economics)ChinaYield (engineering)World marketRaw materialGrain yieldCarry (investment)

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Total production of cereals and pulses in the world for the period from 2009 to 2020 increased by 20.6%, amounting to 3086 million tons. The largest share in the structure of global grain production is occupied by the countries of Asia and America. The analysis showed that over the past decade, the world leadership in grain production volumes belongs to China (20%), the USA (14-15%), EU countries (12.8%), India (about 12%). Russia's share in world grain production for the period from 2009 to 2020 increased from 3.8 to 4.3%, which is a positive factor. It has been established that our country is one of the states with the highest specialization in wheat production (over 61%). In addition, countries with a high share of it include Canada (51%), France (48.6%), Germany (45.3%), Ukraine (42.9%) and the UK (41.8%). Global growth rate of grain production for the period from 2009 to 2020 amounted to 20.6%, while in Russia it reached 37.5%, in Africa – 26.8%, in Asia – 25.5%, in America – 25.1%, in Europe – 10.1%. It has been determined that the highest level of wheat yield is observed in Germany, Great Britain, France, Egypt, and China. To increase the economic efficiency of grain production, it is necessary to carry out regular economic analysis of production costs and monitoring of market prices, as well as increase the share of exports of food products with a high degree of processing of raw materials. This will ensure the growth of added value in the industry and the transition to expanded reproduction in agriculture on a highly intensive basis.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.011
Threshold uncertainty score0.022

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0030.007
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.020
GPT teacher head0.245
Teacher spread0.226 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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