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Record W7128497159 · doi:10.64903/1480-6800-25.4.230

Monitoring Climate Change in Jordan and its Impact on Agriculture

2022· article· W7128497159 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Qassem Y. Tarawneh

Bibliographic record

VenueArab world geographer · 2022
Typearticle
Language
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicWater-Energy-Food Nexus Studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPrecipitationClimate changePercentileAgricultureMaximum temperatureMean radiant temperatureEffects of global warming

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Climate change in Jordan is investigated in this study. Daily data from 1990–2020 for the Amman area is used to monitor climate change in Jordan. The Expert Team Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) software is utilized to test the extreme indices. The study shows general warming through the summer days (SU); number of summer days; the annual count of days when (TX); daily maximum temperature > 25° C, which increased by 3 days per decade. The annual maximum of daily maximum temperature (TXx) increased by 0.66 per decade. Most temperature indices (annual minimum of daily maximum temperature (TXn), percentages of days when daily max. TX > 90 th percentiles (TX90p), percentages of days when daily MIN TN. > 90 th (TN90P), etc.) show increasing trends during the study period. The precipitation indices (R10), the number of heavy precipitation days, the annual count of days when prec ≥10 mm, show a decreasing trend, while (R20), the number of very heavy precipitation days, the annual count of days when prec ≥20 mm shows a slight increasing trend. A Maksim generator is used to detect the difference between the reference period 1990–2020 and the output of three climatic models. The study revealed that the difference between the reference period and the results of climate models was 1.5–3.5 degrees C., using RCP 8.5 scenario in the year 2050. The difference was less in Scenario 4.5 and Scenario 2.6.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.007
Threshold uncertainty score0.015

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.016
GPT teacher head0.248
Teacher spread0.232 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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