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Record W7128497159 · doi:10.64903/1480-6800-25.4.230

Monitoring Climate Change in Jordan and its Impact on Agriculture

2022· article· W7128497159 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Qassem Y. Tarawneh

Bibliographic record

VenueArab world geographer · 2022
Typearticle
Language
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicWater-Energy-Food Nexus Studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPrecipitationClimate changePercentileAgricultureMaximum temperatureMean radiant temperatureEffects of global warming

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Climate change in Jordan is investigated in this study. Daily data from 1990–2020 for the Amman area is used to monitor climate change in Jordan. The Expert Team Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) software is utilized to test the extreme indices. The study shows general warming through the summer days (SU); number of summer days; the annual count of days when (TX); daily maximum temperature > 25° C, which increased by 3 days per decade. The annual maximum of daily maximum temperature (TXx) increased by 0.66 per decade. Most temperature indices (annual minimum of daily maximum temperature (TXn), percentages of days when daily max. TX > 90 th percentiles (TX90p), percentages of days when daily MIN TN. > 90 th (TN90P), etc.) show increasing trends during the study period. The precipitation indices (R10), the number of heavy precipitation days, the annual count of days when prec ≥10 mm, show a decreasing trend, while (R20), the number of very heavy precipitation days, the annual count of days when prec ≥20 mm shows a slight increasing trend. A Maksim generator is used to detect the difference between the reference period 1990–2020 and the output of three climatic models. The study revealed that the difference between the reference period and the results of climate models was 1.5–3.5 degrees C., using RCP 8.5 scenario in the year 2050. The difference was less in Scenario 4.5 and Scenario 2.6.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.038
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.002
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.002
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.016
GPT teacher head0.248
Teacher spread0.232 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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