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Record W7132286739

Predicting ice thickness for engineering applications

2018· article· en· W7132286739 on OpenAlexaffvenueabout
Robert Frederking

Bibliographic record

VenueNPARC · 2018
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicArctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
Canadian institutionsNational Research Council Canada
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSnowArcticSea iceSubmarine pipelineArctic ice packBayAir temperatureCryosphere
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Many engineering problems require an estimate of ice thickness, either the maximum likely thickness or the thickness at some time during the winter. This can be for estimating ice forces on an offshore structure in the sea or a bridge pier in a river. Operation of icebreaking ships requires knowledge of ice thickness to establish the viability of transit to northern ports. Similarly, over-ice transportation on seas, lakes or rives depends on a knowledge of ice thickness. At some locations historical records can be used to estimate ice thicknesses, but with changing climate historical records have limited applicability. Having means for predicting ice growth during a winter is a helpful tool. In high Arctic regions it is assumed the primary factors affecting ice growth are air temperature and snow depth. Assessment of the equations against data from Arctic weather stations indicates that the incorporation of snow depth in terms of a mean annual snow depth is a simple means for improving their predictive capability. Modified equations including mean annual snow depth and freezing degree days as input parameters are proposed and tested against available data at two locations in the Canadian High Arctic; Resolute Bay in a marine coastal environment and Baker lake in an inland freshwater lake. These modified prediction equations are proposed for general application in the Arctic.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.026
Threshold uncertainty score0.052

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0050.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.009
GPT teacher head0.209
Teacher spread0.200 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2018
Admission routes3
Has abstractyes

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