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Record W7132867676

Uncertainty Displays for Public Health Decision Support Tools

2024· dissertation· W7132867676 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Tselot Tessema

Bibliographic record

VenueTSpace · 2024
Typedissertation
Language
FieldComputer Science
TopicData Visualization and Analytics
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsDecision support systemPublic healthResource (disambiguation)PopulationDecision analysisResource allocationPopulation healthDiseaseHealth care
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Chronic disease accounts for almost 25% of healthcare spending and 90% of all deaths in Canada. Decision support tools like the Chronic Disease Population Risk Tool (CDPoRT) can promote economic and equitable data-driven decision-making for chronic disease management, but research shows that complex algorithmic tools (e.g. CDPoRT, machine learning, artificial intelligence) may not be actionable if they do not contain uncertainty information. This thesis includes an environmental scan of 69 Canadian COVID-19 dashboards to assess the use of uncertainty displays in current design practices. Key findings show the underutilization of uncertainty displays. Additionally, this thesis explores how public health experts make resource allocation decisions using four types of uncertainty displays. This study includes measures of decision strategy, confidence, mental workload, usability, understanding of uncertainty, and data preferences. Reported findings can benefit the design of decision support tools for use in public health, supply chain logistics, and business.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Scholarly communication, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.865
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0040.001
Open science0.0020.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.107
GPT teacher head0.442
Teacher spread0.335 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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