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Record W7132884337

Considering the Observational Approach in a Probabilistic Setting

2023· dissertation· W7132884337 on OpenAlexaff
Cagcan Cal

Bibliographic record

VenueTSpace · 2023
Typedissertation
Language
FieldEngineering
TopicGeotechnical Engineering and Analysis
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsProbabilistic logicObservational studyPerspective (graphical)Probabilistic designObservational methods in psychologyStatistical model
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The observational approach is utilised when the prediction of geotechnical behaviour is challenging. The main principle of the observational approach is reviewing the design during construction after discovering that it is inadequate. Design modification decisions must be appropriately justified to prevent over-reliance on the engineer’s judgement. This could be achievable by predicting the effects of any potential design modifications in advance. This thesis investigates the observational approach from a probabilistic perspective in evaluating design options. For this purpose, a probabilistic convergence-confinement model is established for a tunnel design scenario that requires modification. In addition, a probabilistic traffic light system which quantifies the risks associated with each observation is developed. It is concluded that the suggested procedure can help assess support design options for various ground conditions.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.048
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.041
GPT teacher head0.293
Teacher spread0.252 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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