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Record W7133017554

Fast Radio Burst Statistics in Space and Time

2025· dissertation· W7133017554 on OpenAlexfundaboutno aff
Amanda M. Cook

Bibliographic record

VenueTSpace · 2025
Typedissertation
Language
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicGamma-ray bursts and supernovae
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersSmithsonian Astrophysical ObservatoryUniversity of TorontoNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaMcGill UniversityCanadian Institute for Advanced Research
KeywordsHaloMilky WayPoisson distributionFast radio burstBayesian probabilityLeverage (statistics)Posterior probabilityProbability distributionSkewnessStatistical hypothesis testing
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In this thesis I describe three statistical studies of fast radio bursts (FRBs), focusing on constraining the Milky Way’s (MW's) ionized halo, developing new spatial point process methodology for the identification of repeating FRBs, and performing (and maximizing the utility of) multi-wavelength observations of a nearby, active FRB. My FRB sample mainly comes from the revolutionary dataset from the FRB project of the Canadian Hydrogen Intensity Mapping Experiment (CHIME/FRB). The first project places upper limits on the total Galactic electron column as a function of Galactic latitude using FRB dispersion measures (DMs). By applying four different boundary models, I set observation-based constraints of the total Galactic DM contribution for $|b|\geq30^\circ$, depending on the Galactic latitude and selected model, that span 87.8$\,-\,141$\,pc\,cm$^{-3}$. These results suggest that some commonly used MW halo models overestimate the halo’s gas density, especially when assuming high halo masses. This work highlights the impact of feedback mechanisms in shaping the halo. The second project introduces a novel approach to inference on noisy nonhomogeneous Poisson processes (NHPPs), in particular describing the $k$-contact distribution for events in a noisy NHPP. Using a hierarchical Bayesian model, I first estimate hyperparameters that govern the intensity of the NHPP that describes CHIME/FRB's detection of independent FRBs on the sky. I then leverage the posterior distribution to infer the probability of detecting a given number of events within a certain radius in observation space. This approach has significantly increased sensitivity for identifying repeating FRB sources, increasing detection significance in 86\% of cases and decreasing the computed probability, the `probability of chance coincidence', by a median factor of around 3000 compared to the previous methodology. The third project focuses on searching for high-energy emission associated with an FRB, using contemporaneous X-ray and radio observations of the hyperactive and nearby repeating FRB source FRB 20220912A. Utilizing data from \xmm, \nicer, Effelsberg, CHIME/Pulsar, and CHIME/FRB, I place stringent upper limits on the X-ray to radio fluence ratio ($\eta_{\text{\,x/r}}$) at the time of radio bursts from the source. Despite detecting 30 radio bursts during the simultaneous X-ray observations, no significant X-ray emission was observed. Using a new Bayesian methodology that I developed, I set a 99.7\% credible interval upper limit on $\ate$ of $<2\times10^6$, the most stringent such limit for any FRB to date. These limits approach the level expected from proposed FRB emission mechanisms and observed phenomena from Galactic magnetars, especially when adopting an X-ray spectrum similar to that observed from the Galactic magnetar SGR 1935+2154 during its FRB-like emission. This thesis contributes to the field of FRB science by improving our understanding of the Milky Way’s halo and hence its co-evolution with the Galaxy and intergalactic medium, by developing novel statistical tools for identifying repeating FRBs and associations between other poorly-localized phenomena, and by placing deep limits on any associated X-ray emission of these enigmatic sources.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.027
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.011
Threshold uncertainty score0.023

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.027
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.003
Science and technology studies0.0000.002
Scholarly communication0.0020.003
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.008
GPT teacher head0.272
Teacher spread0.264 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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