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Record W7133023975

Modeling Supply and Demand of General Internists in Ontario

2024· dissertation· W7133023975 on OpenAlexaffabout
Pooja Bhalerao

Bibliographic record

VenueTSpace · 2024
Typedissertation
Language
FieldHealth Professions
TopicHealthcare Operations and Scheduling Optimization
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsWorkforceSpecialtySupply and demandPopulationWorkforce planningService (business)CensusPhysician supplyHealth care
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Supply-demand gap analysis is an essential part of planning for the medical workforce and services. Internal medicine is a specialty that is dedicated to providing primary and specialty care to adults. General internists provide medical care in hospital and community-based settings and perform academic activities such as research and teaching. Close to 40% of Canada’s population resides in Ontario. Ontario’s population has an increasing trend with seniors being the fastest growing age-group. Therefore, demand for general internists is rising rapidly in the province. A detailed study of the supply and demand systems and model driven analysis is needed for a future-proof planning of the supply of general internists. This doctoral research is undertaken with the motivation of providing decision makers with a simulation tool which will give both a micro-level and bird’s-eye view of the system and act as an aid in investigating policy options. This dissertation presents a system dynamics based ‘what-if scenario’ analysis tool for workforce planning of general internists in Ontario. Based on census data for IM residency, physicians in Ontario reports and Internal Medicine (IM) service utilization data in multiple healthcare settings in Ontario, a system dynamics-based supply model an analytical demand forecasting model is developed to estimate the supply-demand gap for general internists. The main contribution of this research is the availability of multiple practical levers within the model to simulate potential policies and evaluate their impact on the system.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.747
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.079
GPT teacher head0.453
Teacher spread0.374 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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