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Record W7133276467

Vulnerability Framework: Three Oil Categories

2024· other· en· W7133276467 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Pêches et Océans Canada

Bibliographic record

VenueFederal Open Science Repository of Canada / Le Dépôt fédéral de science ouverte du Canada · 2024
Typeother
Languageen
Field
Topic
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsVulnerability (computing)Oil spillVulnerability assessmentTimelineIntertidal zoneContingency planPetroleum
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Under Canada’s World Class Tanker Safety System Initiative (WCTSS) a national framework was developed to identify marine biological organisms most vulnerable to ship source oil (Thornborough et al. 2017) in the event of an oil spill. The Pacific regional application of this framework (Hannah et al. 2017) and the 2022 update for all oil types (DFO 2023) considered all oil types together and identified 27 highly vulnerable biological groups., However, it was recommended to further define impacts by assessing vulnerability for individual oil types or categories separately for the initial period of an oil spill when the oil is still fresh and floating. Ongoing funding under Oceans Protection Plan was approved in 2022 to carry out this work. Criterion definitions and scoring guidance from the Pacific Application of the vulnerability framework (all oil types) (Hannah et al. 2017) were reviewed to determine where adaptations were necessary to capture the vulnerability of Pacific marine species to three different types of oil: diesel and gasoline1 ; Bunker C2 ; and diluted bitumen2 above. Changes in the definition and guidance for scoring were required for two criteria (‘seafloor or vegetation interacting’ and ‘close association with unconsolidated substrate’ were changed to add ‘in intertidal areas’) to capture that oil floats when fresh. This application is only relevant to the spill phase when each oil type is fresh and floating as identified by the Automated Data Inquiry for Oil Spills (ADIOS) model output. Consequently subtidal groups will likely have lower vulnerability. Oil fate and behaviour modelling informed timelines and exposure considerations for when the scoring results for individual oil types would be most applicable during the initial period of an oil spill response when the oil is fresh and floating. This period can vary from hours to days depending on oil type and environmental conditions. Scoring for individual oil types lowered the total vulnerability score of several subgroups when compared to the scores for all oil types, particularly for diesel and gasoline, which had fifteen fewer subgroups in the high vulnerability category. For both Bunker C and diluted bitumen there were seven fewer subgroups in the high vulnerability category compared to scores for all oil types (DFO 2023). The distribution of vulnerability scores across subgroups was similar to those for all oil types. There was no difference in vulnerability scores between Bunker C and diluted bitumen for each subgroup, but for diesel and gasoline several vulnerability scores for the same subgroups were lower. The lower vulnerability scores for diesel and gasoline are due to the mechanical impairment criterion, as light oils are not expected to smother or clog feeding structures, like the heavier and more viscous Bunker C and diluted bitumen. Oil weathering models were run using the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) ADIOS tool, to determine weathering timelines for four different weather scenarios. ADIOS model predictions indicated that the majority of weathering is due to evaporation for diesel and gasoline, and both evaporation and dispersion for Bunker C and diluted bitumen. For diluted bitumen there is an initial period of rapid weathering where the diluent is lost through evaporation and then a slower weathering period where dispersion is the main mode of weathering. Scoring the chemical sensitivity criterion was challenging using the existing scoring guidance. Consequently, all subgroups were scored a precautionary 1 (indicated as 1*) for this criterion unless sufficient evidence was found to give them a score of 1. Currently, there is not clear guidance for deriving a score of 0. Oils vary greatly, even within a specific oil type, and many factors impact how an oil behaves in the environment. Also, individual species within a subgroup can vary in terms of their life history, behaviour, and vulnerability to oil. As such, oil fate and behaviour information and predictions from modelling, as well as expected oil impacts and vulnerability, may not apply to all situations. This framework is one tool used by Fisheries and Oceans’ Environmental Incident Coordinators (EICs) in a response scenario. Combining these results with information from other response partners (such as ecological, archaeological, cultural, and socio-economic priorities) provides a strong response strategy. Based on ADIOS modelling predictions, the list of highly vulnerable subgroups determined for each oil type is most applicable within the first six to eighteen hours after a diesel spill, the first hour after a gasoline spill, the first two to five days after a Bunker C spill, and the first two to twelve hours after a diluted bitumen spill. When environmental conditions are such that significant weathering is likely, or if a sufficient amount of time has passed, the oil will behave differently, and the list of highly vulnerable subgroups resulting from the 2022 update for all oil types (DFO 2023) would be most applicable. For the next revision of the framework, the inclusion of how and whether to include chemical sensitivity should be re-evaluated. If the chemical sensitivity criterion is included, we recommend developing clearer guidance and methods to score chemical sensitivity so that clear sensitivity endpoints are established for each possible score, a consistent evaluation rubric is used to filter studies based on their utility to inform chemical sensitivity, and the weighting of sensitivity is more balanced with life history traits (exposure and recovery criteria) in the framework method. Limitations of this application include the binary scoring method and that current scoring guidance does not capture the breadth of effects (e.g., acute, indirect, and cumulative effects) to appropriately delineate differences in vulnerability between oil types. Though limited to considering marine components within DFO’s jurisdiction, the method could be applicable for other jurisdictions (e.g., marine birds). Species are not assessed based on their socio-economic status (fishery and conservation status) or cultural value, as this information is provided by other response partners, in particular Indigenous communities. The application assumes floating oil does not reach subtidal areas, however, under rough conditions wave action may cause oil droplets, oil particulate aggregates, or dissolved oil components to remain in the water column in subtidal areas. Limitations of the modelling outputs include: input variables (e.g., salinity, temperature, wind) may not be representative of all areas in the region or of all seasons (e.g,. freshwater input and stratification); and the assumption of a single point-source release means results may not apply in all release situations (e.g., continuous release).

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.007
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.014
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.125
Threshold uncertainty score0.249

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0070.014
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.002
Bibliometrics0.0160.010
Science and technology studies0.0040.005
Scholarly communication0.0070.007
Open science0.0030.008
Research integrity0.0020.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0130.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.012
GPT teacher head0.257
Teacher spread0.244 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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Same venueFederal Open Science Repository of Canada / Le Dépôt fédéral de science ouverte du CanadaFrench-language works237,207