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Record W7133300913 · doi:10.17605/osf.io/3g5fq

Temporal Trends in the Distribution of Child and Youth Mental Ill-Health from 1983 to 2023: Evidence from 4 General Population Based Samples in Ontario

2025· other· W7133300913 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Katherine Tombeau Cost, peter szatmari, Emma Nolan, Chris Ji, Jordan Edwards, Nicole S. J. Dryburgh, Meira Golberg, Yun-Ju Chen, Katholiki Georgiades

Bibliographic record

VenueOpen Science Framework · 2025
Typeother
Language
Field
Topic
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMental healthYoung adultPopulationMental health lawDistribution (mathematics)Health problems

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Mental health problems can have a big impact on young people, with lifelong consequences. Our understanding of mental health has changed a lot over the last 40 years, with new ways to identify how many young people have mental health problems and better ways to measure how severe their mental health problems are. However, one of the challenges in understanding mental health problems in young people over the last 40 years is that different studies have used different ways to identify and measure mental health problems in young people. Some studies find that many more young people have mental health problems today than in the past. But other studies find that just the same amount of, or even less, young people have mental health problems today than in the past. Our study aims to provide some clear evidence on whether there is an increase, decrease, or no change in the level of mental health problems in young people today compared to 10 years ago, 25 years ago, and 40 years ago. We are using population-representative data that was collected to measure mental health problems in young people using the same items across Ontario. We will use this information to understand whether or how levels of mental health problems in young people have changed over 40 years. We also aim to understand if there are some groups of young people who are experiencing more mental health problems while there may be other groups of young people who are experiencing the same or less mental health problems. Finally, we aim to understand if the young people with the most mental health problems have become more unwell over time. Results from this study will help us know if there are more young people with mental health problems today compared to the past and will help policy-makers to support programs that will help young people who are experiencing mental health problems.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.007
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Scholarly communication, Open science, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.066
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0070.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.000
Bibliometrics0.0020.010
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.002
Open science0.0060.002
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.059
GPT teacher head0.352
Teacher spread0.292 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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