Written evidence submitted by Dr Deepak Padmanabhan (Sr Lecturer at Queen's University Belfast) [ National Security Strategy (Joint Committee) > Defending Democracy]
Bibliographic record
Abstract
I highlight the role of emerging technologies, including generative AI, and its potential influence on elections, and contrast it with the general threat of disinformation that has been well-studied in the past decade.Against the particular backdrop of several tech companies coming up with their own strategies for elections around the globe in 2024, I outline some of the specific shortcomings of such strategies and emphasize the need for intervention from the UK.In particular, I argue that the companies are proposing to do more of the same kind of things that they have been doing so far, and how that could not just be grossly insufficient.My response mostly pertains to the following two questions in the Call for Evidence:• What role are emerging technologies, such as generative AI, expected to play in upcoming elections?• What can be done to improve public awareness of disinformation, fraud, and technological interference such as that through AI or deep fakes?
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.010 | 0.091 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.006 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.007 | 0.006 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.331 | 0.127 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".