ZMIANY CIŚNIENIA ATMOSFERYCZNEGO NAD MORZEM BARENTSA I ICH WPŁYW NA CYRKULACJĘ ATMOSFERYCZNĄ W ATLANTYCKO-EUROPEJSKIM SEKTORZE CYRKULACYJNYM
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The low-pressure system in the subarctic zone of the North Atlantic, forming the northern arm of the NAO dipole, varies significantly over time. It is composed of three alternating centers – the Labrador Sea low, the Icelandic Low and the Barents Sea low. The individual low-pressure centers mentioned above occur in various configurations, the mutual arrangement of which strongly influences the values of the NAO indices. The aim of the presented research was to determine the impact of isolated SLP changes over the Barents Sea area on atmospheric circulation in the Atlantic-European circulation sector, regardless of SLP changes in the Icelandic Low. When the SLP drops over the Barents Sea, a low-pressure system called the Barents-Kara Trough forms there. In such periods, SLP decreases significantly over the eastern part of the N Atlantic and Europe in the zone located N of 55-58°N, and SLP increases SLP of this border. The maximum increase in SLP is then observed in the latitude zone of 45-50°N and over western and central Europe (10°W – 25°E). During such a period, the trajectories of low-pressure systems move to the zone between 58 and 70°N. The frequency of low-pressure weather, including frontal weather, is increasing in this zone (55-70°N). South of 55-58°N, SLP and the frequency of anticyclones increase. These are most often very strongly eastward ridges of the subtropical N Atlantic anticyclone (Azores High). This increases the frequency of frontal anticyclonic weather in these areas. During periods of SLP increase over the Barents Sea, the Barents-Kara Trough disappears, there is an increase in SLP over the area located N of 55-58°N, and SLP of this boundary decreases. The tracks of low-pressure systems move over Western and Central Europe at lower latitudes (45-55°N). This causes appropriate changes in the weather structure in the N and S regions from 55-58°N, opposite to those described above. Changes in SLP over the Barents Sea are controlled by changes in heat resources in the waters of this sea (e.g. Smedsrud et al. 2012, 2020). Heat resources in the waters of the Barents Sea are regulated by a decreased or increased inflow of warm Atlantic Waters (e.g. Årthun et al. 2012). As a result, all these changes, including the SLP over Europe, are driven, with lags, by NA THC (North Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation) variability. The simultaneous decrease in SLP over the Barents Sea and the decrease in SLP in the Icelandic Low causes an extensive one- or two-center low-pressure system with a WSW-ENE orientation to form in the subarctic and Arctic zone, forcing air advection from the west over NE Europe and Siberia. The decline in SLP over the Barents Sea after 1988 is consistent with the change in macrocirculation epochs over Europe (from epoch E to epoch W), which was caused by the change of the NA THC phase from negative to positive.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".