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Record W7165631997 · doi:10.2196/86999

A Two-Tiered Rescue Protocol to Mitigate Difficulty-Based Failures of ChatGPT 5 and Gemini on the German M2 Medical Exam: Evaluation Study (Preprint)

2025· article· en· W7165631997 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Michael Constantin Kirchberger

Bibliographic record

VenueJMIR Formative Research · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicArtificial Intelligence in Healthcare and Education
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsGermanProtocol (science)Baseline (sea)Wilcoxon signed-rank testLatency (audio)Logistic regression

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

BACKGROUND: Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated expert-level performance on medical licensing examinations, but most benchmarks focus on final accuracy, obscuring model-specific behaviors. Critical gaps remain in understanding model efficiency (latency), the efficacy of tiered "rescue" protocols for error correction, and the systematic correlation between performance and human-rated question difficulty. The German M2 exam, paired with the AMBOSS platform's user-data-driven difficulty ratings, provides a unique opportunity to map AI performance directly against human cognitive load. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to move beyond singular accuracy scores by (1) evaluating and comparing the baseline (Tier 1) accuracy and response latency of next-generation rapid-response LLMs; (2) analyzing the efficacy of a two-tiered rescue (Tier 2) protocol in correcting initial errors; and (3) correlating model performance with the user-data-driven Amboss difficulty rating. METHODS: We evaluated four LLMs (Gemini 2.5 Flash/Pro and ChatGPT 5 Instant/Thinking) on the complete 316-item German M2 (Fall 2024) medical exam, including all multimodal (image-based) questions. A zero-shot copy-paste prompting strategy was utilized, and outputs were evaluated against ground-truth answers using a strict exact-match criterion. A two-tiered protocol was used: Tier 1 (Flash/Instant) provided baseline responses. If incorrect, a Tier 2 (Pro/Thinking) model was deployed as a "rescue." Performance was analyzed using McNemar's test, Wilcoxon signed-rank test, Fisher's exact test, and logistic regression. RESULTS: Baseline (Tier 1) accuracy was identical at 91.46% (95% CI 87.85-94.06; n = 289/316) for both Gemini 2.5 Flash and ChatGPT 5 Instant, with 27 errors each. However, Gemini Flash (Mean=1.57s) was significantly faster than ChatGPT Instant (Mean = 2.07s; P < .001). Additionally, ChatGPT Instant expended significantly more time on incorrect answers compared to correct ones (P = .002), whereas Gemini Flash showed no such hesitation (P = .814). The Tier 2 rescue rate for ChatGPT 5 Thinking (48.15%, 13/27; 95% CI 30.74-66.01) was higher, though not statistically significant (P = .406), than for Gemini 2.5 Pro (33.33%, 9/27; 95% CI 18.64-52.18). This rescue protocol elevated final accuracy to 94.30% (95% CI 91.18-96.37) for the Gemini system and 95.57% (95% CI 92.70-97.34) for the ChatGPT system (P = .481). A strong, inverse relationship with difficulty was found: for every one-point difficulty increase, the odds of a correct Tier 1 response decreased by 42.1% (OR 0.579, 95% CI 0.425-0.788; P < .001) for Gemini Flash and 47.7% (OR 0.523, 95% CI 0.379-0.720; P < .001) for ChatGPT Instant. This negative correlation persisted even after the rescue (P = .013 and P = .006, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Expert-level LLM performance on the German M2 exam masks a critical, systematic vulnerability: a significant decrease in accuracy directly correlated with increased question difficulty. A two-tiered "rescue" system is an effective strategy to mitigate these difficulty-based failures and achieve >95% accuracy, rivaling the best-performing, full-capacity models. We conclude that a simple reliance on a single model is insufficient; hierarchical systems that manage query difficulty are essential for safe and effective integration into medical education.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.007
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.038
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.007
Threshold uncertainty score0.040

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0070.038
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0020.002
Research integrity0.0020.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.243
GPT teacher head0.596
Teacher spread0.353 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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