A world record at an Atlantic City casino and the distribution of the length of the crapshooter's hand
Bibliographic record
Abstract
, playing craps for onlythe second time, rolled the dice for four hours and 18minutes, finally sevening out at the 154th roll. Ini-tial estimates of the probability of this event rangedfrom one chance in 3.5 billion [3] to one chance in1.56 trillion [6]. Consensus was reached within days:one chance in 5.6 billion [1, 5].According to various sources, this established anew worldrecord, previouslyheld by Stanley Fujitake(118 rolls, May 1989, Las Vegas) and more recentlyby a gentleman knownonly as The Captain (148rolls,July 2005, Atlantic City) [4], though the latter eventis not as well documented and was unknown to Bor-gata officials. Presumably, such events have also oc-curred in situations where no precise count of thenumber of rolls was kept.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".