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Enregistrement W2043448684 · doi:10.2118/0906-0018-jpt

Comments: Unconventional Growth

2006· article· en· W2043448684 sur OpenAlexaboutno aff
John Donnelly

Notice bibliographique

RevueJournal of Petroleum Technology · 2006
Typearticle
Langueen
DomaineEnergy
ThématiqueGlobal Energy and Sustainability Research
Établissements canadiensnon disponible
Organismes subventionnairesnon disponible
Mots-clésPetroleum industryOil sandsConsolidation (business)Panel discussionFossil fuelUnconventional oilOil reservesExhibitionOil productionOfficerEconomicsBusinessNatural resource economicsAgricultural economicsPetroleumEngineeringPolitical scienceAccountingLawPetroleum engineeringGeographyWaste managementGeologyArchaeology

Résumé

récupéré en direct d'OpenAlex

This year's SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition (ATCE) in San Antonio features panel discussions on several critical issues facing the industry, including the classification of reserves, the development of young professionals, and the increasing importance of heavy oil in the global production equation. Plenary and panel sessions at ATCE offer a good temperature check of the industry. Five years ago, "e-business" was a hot topic, and 10 years ago, industry consolidation and emerging gas technology drew interest. The Opening General Session at this year's ATCE—titled "Heavy Oil: From Rock Face to Fuel Pumps"—will feature a panel of experts discussing the challenges that heavy and ultra heavy oil present as well as comments on related technology development and R&D efforts. With global demand rising steadily, conventional reservoirs overtaxed, and oil prices buoyant, heavy oil, as Marathon President and Chief Executive Officer Clarence P. Cazalot points out, has grown from a marginal production play a few years ago to one of increasing importance (see page 24). The conventional wisdom sees heavy oil accounting for a growing share of glob-al production. In a report issued last month, Cambridge Energy Research Assocs. contends that world oil production capacity could increase by as much as 25% over the next decade with unconventional supplies such as heavy oil, oil sands, and gas liquids accounting for a major portion of the increase. With high oil prices making development of once-marginal resources more economic, unconventional liquids could go from 25% of the world's oil supply today to almost 40% by 2015, the report said. Extra heavy production capacity is predicted to more than double from 1.9 million BOPD this year to 4.7 million BOPD in 2015. Growth in unconventional supplies from Canada, primarily from oil sands, is booming. Total Canadian oil production is projected to increase from the current 2.5 million BOPD to 4.6 million BOPD in 2015 and to 4.9 million BOPD by 2020, according to the Canadian Assn. of Petroleum Producers. Oil sands output, now at more than 1 million BOPD, is forecast to rise to 3.5 million BOPD by 2015 and to 4 million BOPD by 2020, making up more than 80% of total Canadian production. That growth, along with the shift from conventional oil production to oil sands and synthetic crude, will have a major impact not only on pipeline capacity but also on refinery configurations. An article beginning on page 58 of this month's issue catalogs that heavy oil and oil sands growth and describes some of the accompanying technical challenges involved. Canada's bright production outlook has led to a series of acquisitions by major companies as well as an increase in R&D in the region. Canadian Natural Resources, Husky Energy, and Nexen are funding a 3-year, U.S. $9.6 million project at the Petroleum Technology Research Center in Regina, Canada, to research vapor heavy oil extraction, which uses solvent gases such as butane or propane to reduce heavy oil's viscosity. And last month, Sonic Environmental Solutions created a subsidiary to focus on the application of sonic-generator technology there. Chevron recently scooped up several heavy oil leases in the Athabasca region of northern Alberta with an estimated 7.5 billion bbl of oil in place. Shell has been particularly active. It paid U.S. $400 million earlier this year for oil sands properties in northern Alberta, and in July, it acquired BlackRock Ventures Inc. of Calgary through a subsidiary. Last month, it began working with its joint-venture partners to expand its Athabasca Oil Sands project to increase output there to 550,000 BOPD.

Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.

Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier

Prédiction machine sur la base complète

Imitation des enseignants

Ni prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,004
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,036
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Catégories candidatesaucune
Catégories consensuellesaucune
DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune
Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Sans objet · Signal consensuel: Sans objet
GenreSignal candidat: Commentaire · Signal consensuel: Commentaire
Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,091
Score d'incertitude au seuil0,305

Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)

CatégorieCodexGemma
Métarecherche0,0040,036
Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict)0,0010,000
Méta-épidémiologie (sens large)0,0010,001
Bibliométrie0,0010,001
Études des sciences et des technologies0,0050,002
Communication savante0,0040,005
Science ouverte0,0020,003
Intégrité de la recherche0,0160,012
Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)0,0910,038

Scores machine (provisoires)

Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.

Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.

Tête enseignante Opus0,006
Tête enseignante GPT0,245
Écart entre enseignants0,240 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail
Statut de validationscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle

Classification

machine, non validée

Prédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.

Les modèles n’ont appliqué aucune catégorie : rien dans la taxonomie ne correspondait à ce travail.
Devis d'étudeSans objet
Domainenon disponible
GenreCommentaire

Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».

En bref

Citations1
Publié2006
Routes d'admission1
Résumé présentoui

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