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Аномально теплый декабрь аномально теплого 2015 года в Северном полушарии

2015· article· ru· W2415226901 sur OpenAlexaboutno aff
Владимир Леонидович Сывороткин

Notice bibliographique

RevueПространство и Время · 2015
Typearticle
Langueru
DomaineAgricultural and Biological Sciences
ThématiqueFood Industry and Aquatic Biology
Établissements canadiensnon disponible
Organismes subventionnairesnon disponible
Mots-clésAtmosphere (unit)OzoneOzone layerClimatologyAtmospheric sciencesAnticycloneEnvironmental scienceTroposphereGlobal warmingTropospheric ozoneMeteorologyClimate changeGeographyGeologyOceanography
DOInon disponible

Résumé

récupéré en direct d'OpenAlex

Identifying the causes of natural disasters and anomalies is a major problem both scientifically and socially. Based on ozone layer daily monitoring and using system, comparative and discourse analysis, I review media reports on weather anomalies in comparison with total ozone maps. I show modern explanation of natural anomalies are absurd and inconclusive. Thus, thousands of meteorologists from around the world who gathered at the Climate Conference in December in Paris frankly rejoiced at abnormal heat, causing it as irrefutable proof of the anthropogenic global warming. However, none of these climatologists noticed that the ozone layer over the venue for the conference is literally torn to shreds. And none of these climatologists remembered that the concentration of ozone in the atmosphere determines its temperature stratification. In my article, I prove the main cause of the weather (and climate) anomalies is the fluctuations of the ozone total quantity (total ozone) in the atmosphere. These fluctuations are caused by (i) emission of the deep gases (hydrogen and methane), which destruct ozone, and (ii) variations of the geomagnetic field, which increase the concentration of ozone. The positive ozone anomalies cool the troposphere and create anti-cyclones, dry, heavy and slow moving air masses. The negative anomalies warm up the air and create the cyclonic masses with law pressure. The nearest anticyclones could move to that area bringing with them the anomalous temperatures, sometimes very high and sometimes very law. Analysis of information on weather anomalies allowed me conclude that abnormally warm in December 2015, as well as snowfalls and floods in the US are a consequence of perfect manifestation of ozone algorithm of weather phenomena, which has been described in detail in my previous publications in the and Time Journal. ozone anomaly; abnormally warm in December 2015; the Paris Conference on climate; global warming; snowfalls; floods; peat-bog combustion; ozone; deep degassing; hydrogen Abnormal Warm Weather in Canada and in the Eastern US. Earth. The Chronicles of Life. N.p., 25 Dec. Web. . (In Russian). Abnormal Warm Weather in Europe Continues To Set Records. Vkontakte [InContact]. N.p., 25 Dec. Web. . (In Russian). Climate Conference in Paris (COP21). Wikipedia. The Free Encyclopedia. Wikimedia Foundation, Inc., n.d. Web. . (In Russian). In the Irkutsk Region, Peat Burning in Usolsky District Only. News of Irkutsk Region and Baikal Region by the Teleinform News Agency. Teleinform News Agency, 25 Dec. Web. . (In Russian). Hydrometeorological Center of Russia. Key Features of Weather and Climate in the Northern Hemisphere in December 2015. Hydrometeorological Center of Russia. Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, n.d. Web. . (In Russian). In the Kuzbass, Three People Have Died at the Open-Pit Mine “Chernigovsky” Fall. Agency of Information Messages. N.p., 10 Dec. Web. . (In Russian). Khotyanovsky Yu. Snow Storm Frightened the Inhabitants of Novosibirsk. Novosibirsk News. N.p., 10 Dec. Web. . (In Russian). Naumtseva A. with Strangenesses. Novosibirsk Survived the Cold, Heat and Storm – Forecasters Told When To Wait for Heat and Frost in August. NTS NEWS. N.p., 29 July 2014. Web. . (In Russian). Peat Bogs Are Burning in Nine Municipalities of the Irkutsk Region. News of Irkutsk Region and Baikal Region by the Teleinform News Agency. N.p., 30 Oct. Web. . (In Russian). Select Maps. and Ultraviolet Research and Monitoring. Environment Canada's World Wide Web Site. The Green LaneTM. Web. . Synoptics Predict the Sharp Cold Snap by the New Year. Izvestia [The News] [Moscow] 30 Dec. 2015 Web. . ( In Russian). Syvorotkin V. L. Deep Degassing, Layer and Weather Anomalies in Northern Hemisphere in Summer 2015: Heat Waves in Europe, in Chukotka, and in Magadan; Chill in the Central Russia; Wildfires in Spain, in Ukraine and Siberia. Space and Time 3 (2015): 292–303. (In Russian). Syvorotkin V. L. Ozone Layer and Weather Anomalies of Summer 2014 in Russia: Heat in Arkhangelsk and Snowfall in Tver, Cold in Chelyabinsk and Record Heat in Siberia and Kalmykia. Space and Time 3 (2014): 266–274. (In Russian). Syvorotkin V.L. Geoecology as a Geopolitics. Geopolitics: Theory, History, Practice. Proceedings of the 1st International Scientific and Practical Conference (April 24, 2012, Moscow, Military University of the Russian Federation Ministry of Defense). Eds. O.N. Tynyanova, V.L. Syvorotkin. Moscow: Scientific Publishing Center ‘Space and Time’ Publisher, 2012, issue 1, pp. 158–163. (In Russian).  “Veliky Ustyug Is on the Verge of Flooding. Cherepovets Information Website. N.p., 17 Dec. Web. . (In Russian). Syvorotkin, V. L. Abnormal Warm December of Anomalously Warm 2015 in Northern Hemisphere. Space and Time 4 (2015): 244–253. (In Russian). Fixed network address 2226-7271provr_st4-22.2015.102.

Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.

Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier

Prédiction distillée sur la base complète

Imitation des enseignants

Ni prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,002
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Catégories candidatesMéta-épidémiologie (sens strict), Intégrité de la recherche, Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)
Catégories consensuellesCharge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)
DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune
Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Sans objet · Signal consensuel: Sans objet
GenreSignal candidat: Empirique · Signal consensuel: Empirique
Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,148
Score d'incertitude au seuil1,000

Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie

CatégorieCodexGemma
Métarecherche0,0020,001
Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict)0,0010,001
Méta-épidémiologie (sens large)0,0010,001
Bibliométrie0,0000,001
Études des sciences et des technologies0,0010,001
Communication savante0,0000,001
Science ouverte0,0020,001
Intégrité de la recherche0,0020,002
Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)0,0090,009

Scores machine (provisoires)

Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.

Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.

Tête enseignante Opus0,129
Tête enseignante GPT0,282
Écart entre enseignants0,153 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail
Statut de validationscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle

Classification

machine, non validée

Prédiction automatique; les deux têtes enseignantes s’accordent sur ce qui est montré ici.

Devis d'étudeSans objet
Domainenon disponible
GenreEmpirique

Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».

En bref

Citations0
Publié2015
Routes d'admission1
Résumé présentoui

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