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Record W2415226901

Аномально теплый декабрь аномально теплого 2015 года в Северном полушарии

2015· article· ru· W2415226901 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Владимир Леонидович Сывороткин

Bibliographic record

VenueПространство и Время · 2015
Typearticle
Languageru
FieldAgricultural and Biological Sciences
TopicFood Industry and Aquatic Biology
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsAtmosphere (unit)OzoneOzone layerClimatologyAtmospheric sciencesAnticycloneEnvironmental scienceTroposphereGlobal warmingTropospheric ozoneMeteorologyClimate changeGeographyGeologyOceanography
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Identifying the causes of natural disasters and anomalies is a major problem both scientifically and socially. Based on ozone layer daily monitoring and using system, comparative and discourse analysis, I review media reports on weather anomalies in comparison with total ozone maps. I show modern explanation of natural anomalies are absurd and inconclusive. Thus, thousands of meteorologists from around the world who gathered at the Climate Conference in December in Paris frankly rejoiced at abnormal heat, causing it as irrefutable proof of the anthropogenic global warming. However, none of these climatologists noticed that the ozone layer over the venue for the conference is literally torn to shreds. And none of these climatologists remembered that the concentration of ozone in the atmosphere determines its temperature stratification. In my article, I prove the main cause of the weather (and climate) anomalies is the fluctuations of the ozone total quantity (total ozone) in the atmosphere. These fluctuations are caused by (i) emission of the deep gases (hydrogen and methane), which destruct ozone, and (ii) variations of the geomagnetic field, which increase the concentration of ozone. The positive ozone anomalies cool the troposphere and create anti-cyclones, dry, heavy and slow moving air masses. The negative anomalies warm up the air and create the cyclonic masses with law pressure. The nearest anticyclones could move to that area bringing with them the anomalous temperatures, sometimes very high and sometimes very law. Analysis of information on weather anomalies allowed me conclude that abnormally warm in December 2015, as well as snowfalls and floods in the US are a consequence of perfect manifestation of ozone algorithm of weather phenomena, which has been described in detail in my previous publications in the and Time Journal. ozone anomaly; abnormally warm in December 2015; the Paris Conference on climate; global warming; snowfalls; floods; peat-bog combustion; ozone; deep degassing; hydrogen Abnormal Warm Weather in Canada and in the Eastern US. Earth. The Chronicles of Life. N.p., 25 Dec. Web. . (In Russian). Abnormal Warm Weather in Europe Continues To Set Records. Vkontakte [InContact]. N.p., 25 Dec. Web. . (In Russian). Climate Conference in Paris (COP21). Wikipedia. The Free Encyclopedia. Wikimedia Foundation, Inc., n.d. Web. . (In Russian). In the Irkutsk Region, Peat Burning in Usolsky District Only. News of Irkutsk Region and Baikal Region by the Teleinform News Agency. Teleinform News Agency, 25 Dec. Web. . (In Russian). Hydrometeorological Center of Russia. Key Features of Weather and Climate in the Northern Hemisphere in December 2015. Hydrometeorological Center of Russia. Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, n.d. Web. . (In Russian). In the Kuzbass, Three People Have Died at the Open-Pit Mine “Chernigovsky” Fall. Agency of Information Messages. N.p., 10 Dec. Web. . (In Russian). Khotyanovsky Yu. Snow Storm Frightened the Inhabitants of Novosibirsk. Novosibirsk News. N.p., 10 Dec. Web. . (In Russian). Naumtseva A. with Strangenesses. Novosibirsk Survived the Cold, Heat and Storm – Forecasters Told When To Wait for Heat and Frost in August. NTS NEWS. N.p., 29 July 2014. Web. . (In Russian). Peat Bogs Are Burning in Nine Municipalities of the Irkutsk Region. News of Irkutsk Region and Baikal Region by the Teleinform News Agency. N.p., 30 Oct. Web. . (In Russian). Select Maps. and Ultraviolet Research and Monitoring. Environment Canada's World Wide Web Site. The Green LaneTM. Web. . Synoptics Predict the Sharp Cold Snap by the New Year. Izvestia [The News] [Moscow] 30 Dec. 2015 Web. . ( In Russian). Syvorotkin V. L. Deep Degassing, Layer and Weather Anomalies in Northern Hemisphere in Summer 2015: Heat Waves in Europe, in Chukotka, and in Magadan; Chill in the Central Russia; Wildfires in Spain, in Ukraine and Siberia. Space and Time 3 (2015): 292–303. (In Russian). Syvorotkin V. L. Ozone Layer and Weather Anomalies of Summer 2014 in Russia: Heat in Arkhangelsk and Snowfall in Tver, Cold in Chelyabinsk and Record Heat in Siberia and Kalmykia. Space and Time 3 (2014): 266–274. (In Russian). Syvorotkin V.L. Geoecology as a Geopolitics. Geopolitics: Theory, History, Practice. Proceedings of the 1st International Scientific and Practical Conference (April 24, 2012, Moscow, Military University of the Russian Federation Ministry of Defense). Eds. O.N. Tynyanova, V.L. Syvorotkin. Moscow: Scientific Publishing Center ‘Space and Time’ Publisher, 2012, issue 1, pp. 158–163. (In Russian).  “Veliky Ustyug Is on the Verge of Flooding. Cherepovets Information Website. N.p., 17 Dec. Web. . (In Russian). Syvorotkin, V. L. Abnormal Warm December of Anomalously Warm 2015 in Northern Hemisphere. Space and Time 4 (2015): 244–253. (In Russian). Fixed network address 2226-7271provr_st4-22.2015.102.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Research integrity, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.148
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0020.001
Research integrity0.0020.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0090.009

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.129
GPT teacher head0.282
Teacher spread0.153 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2015
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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