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Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: a baseline analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
Stephen S Lim, Kate E. Allen, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Lalit Dandona, Mohammad H. Forouzanfar, Nancy Fullman, Peter W. Gething, Ellen M Goldberg, Simon I Hay, Mollie Holmberg, Yohannes Kinfu, Michael Kutz, Heidi J. Larson, Xiaofeng Liang, Alan D Lopez, Rafael Lozano, Claire R. McNellan, Ali H. Mokdad, Meghan Mooney, Mohsen Naghavi, Helen Elizabeth Olsen, David M. Pigott, Joshua A. Salomon, Theo Vos, Haidong Wang, Amanuel Alemu Abajobir, Kalkidan Hassen Abate, Cristiana Abbafati, Kaja Abbas, Foad Abd-Allah, Abdishakur Abdulle, Biju Abraham, Ibrahim Abubakar, Laith J. Abu‐Raddad, Niveen M. E. Abu-Rmeileh, Gebre Yitayih Abyu, Tom Achoki, Akindele O. Adebiyi, Isaac Akinkunmi Adedeji, Kossivi Agbélénko Afanvi, Ashkan Afshin, Arnav Agarwal, Anurag Agrawal, Ali Kiadaliri, Hamid Ahmadieh, Kedir Y. Ahmed, A. S. Akanda, Rufus Akinyemi, Tomi Akinyemiju, Nadia Akseer, Ziyad Al‐Aly, Khurshid Alam, Uzma Alam, Deena Alasfoor, Fadia AlBuhairan, Saleh Fahed Aldhahri, Robert W Aldridge, Zewdie Aderaw Alemu, Raghib Ali, Ala’a Alkerwi, Mohammad AB Alkhateeb, François Alla, Peter Allebeck, Christine A. Allen, Rajaa Al‐Raddadi, Ubai Alsharif, Khalid A Altirkawi, Elena Álvarez Martín, Nelson Alvis‐Guzmán, Azmeraw T. Amare, Alemayehu Amberbir, A. Kofi Amegah, Heresh Amini, Walid Ammar, Stephen M. Amrock, Hjalte Holm Andersen, Benjamin O. Anderson, Gregory M. Anderson, Carl Abelardo T. Antonio, Palwasha Anwari, Johan Ärnlöv, Al Artaman, Hamid Asayesh, Rana Jawad Asghar, Suleman Atique, Euripide Avokpaho, Ashish Awasthi, Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla, Peter Azzopardi, Umar Bacha, Alaa Badawi, Kalpana Balakrishnan, Amitava Banerjee, Aleksandra Barać, Ryan M Barber, Suzanne Barker‐Collo, Till Bärnighausen, Lope H. Barrero, Tonatiuh Barrientos‐Gutiérrez, Sanjay Basu, Tigist Assefa Bayou, Shahrzad Bazargan‐Hejazi, Justin Beardsley, Neeraj Bedi, Ettore Beghi, Yannick Béjot, Michelle L. Bell, Aminu K. Bello, Derrick Bennett, Isabela M. Benseñor, Habib Benzian, Adugnaw Berhane, Eduardo Bernabé, Balem Demtsu Betsu, Addisu Shunu Beyene, Neeraj Bhala, Samir Bhatt, Sibhatu Biadgilign, Kelly Bienhoff, Boris Bikbov, Agnès Binagwaho, Donal Bisanzio, Espen Bjertness, Jed D Blore, Rupert Bourne, Michael Brainin, Michael Bräuer, Alexandra Bražinová, Nicholas J. K. Breitborde, David M. Broday, Traolach Brugha, Rachelle Buchbinder, Zahid A Butt, Leah E. 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Jansen, Mehdi Javanbakht, Sudha Jayaraman, Achala Upendra Jayatilleke, Sun Ha Jee, Panniyammakal Jeemon, Vivekanand Jha, Ying Jiang, Tariku Jibat, Ye Jin, Jost B. Jonas, Zubair Kabir, Yogeshwar Kalkonde, Ritul Kamal, Haidong Kan, Amit Kandel, André Karch, Corine Karema, Chanté Karimkhani, Palitha Karunapema, Amir Kasaeian, Nicholas J Kassebaum, Anil Kaul, Norito Kawakami, Jeanne Françoise Kayibanda, Peter Njenga Keiyoro, Laura Kemmer, Andrew H. Kemp, André Pascal Kengne, Andre Keren, Chandrasekharan Nair Kesavachandran, Yousef Khader, Abdur Rahman Khan, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Gulfaraz Khan, Young‐Ho Khang, Tawfik Khoja, Ardeshir Khosravi, Jagdish Khubchandani, Christian Kieling, Cho‐il Kim, Daniel Kim, Sungroul Kim, Yun Jin Kim, Ruth W Kimokoti, Niranjan Kissoon, Miia Kivipelto, Luke D. Knibbs, Yoshihiro Kokubo, Dhaval Kolte, Soewarta Kosen, Georgios A. Kotsakis, Parvaiz A Koul, Ai Koyanagi, Michael Kravchenko, Hans Krueger, Barthélémy Kuate Defo, Ricardo Kuchenbecker, Ernst J. Kuipers, Xie Rachel Kulikoff, Veena S. Kulkarni, G Anil Kumar, Gene F. Kwan, Hmwe Hmwe Kyu, Aparna Lal, Ratilal Lalloo, Hilton Y. Lam, Qing Lan, Sinéad Langan, Anders Larsson, Dennis Odai Laryea, Asma Latif, Janet L Leasher, James Leigh, Mall Leinsalu, Janni Leung, Ricky Leung, Miriam Levi, Li Y, Yongmei Li, Margaret L. Lind, Shai Linn, Steven E. Lipshultz, Patrick Y Liu, Shiwei Liu, Yang Liu, Belinda Lloyd, Loon-Tzian Lo, Giancarlo Logroscino, Paulo A. Lotufo, Robyn Lucas, Raimundas Lunevičius, Mohammed Magdy Abd El Razek, Carlos Magis‐Rodríguez, Mahdi Mahdavi, Marek Majdán, Azeem Majeed, Reza Malekzadeh, Déborah Carvalho Malta, Chabila C Mapoma, David Joel Margolis, Randall V. Martin, José Martı́nez-Raga, Felix Masiye, Amanda J. Mason‐Jones, João Massano, Richard Matzopoulos, Bongani M. Mayosi, John J. McGrath, Martin McKee, Peter A. Meaney, Alem Mehari, Alemayehu Mekonnen, Yohannes Adama Melaku, Peter Memiah, Ziad A. Memish, Walter Mendoza, Gert Mensink, Atte Meretoja, Tuomo J Meretoja, Yonatan Moges Mesfin, Francis Mhimbira, Renata Micha, Ted R. Miller, Edward J Mills, Mojde Mirarefin, Awoke Misganaw, Philip B. Mitchell, Charles Mock, Alireza Mohammadi, Shafiu Mohammed, Lorenzo Monasta, Jonathan de la Cruz Monis, Julio Cesar Montañez Hernandez, Marcella Montico, Maziar Moradi‐Lakeh, Lídia Morawska, Rintaro Mori, Ulrich Müeller, Michele E Murdoch, Brighton Murimira, Joseph Murray, Gudlavalleti Venkata Satyanarayana Murthy, Srinivas Murthy, Kamarul Imran Musa, Jean B. Nachega, Gabriele Nagel, Kovin Naidoo, Luigi Naldi, Vinay Nangia, Bruce Neal, Chakib Nejjari, Charles R. Newton, John Newton, Frida Ngalesoni, Peter Nguhiu, Grant Nguyen, Quyen Le Nguyen, Muhammad Imran Nisar, Patrick Martial Nkamedjie Pete, Sandra Nolte, Marika Nomura, Ole Frithjof Norheim, Bo Norrving, Carla Makhlouf Obermeyer, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, In‐Hwan Oh, Olanrewaju Oladimeji, Pedro R. Olivares, Bolajoko O. 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Yan, Yuichiro Yano, Mehdi Yaseri, Pengpeng Ye, Paul Yip, Naohiro Yonemoto, Seok‐Jun Yoon, Mustafa Z Younis, Chuanhua Yu, Zoubida Zaidi, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Carlos Zambrana‐Torrelio, Tomas Zapata, Elias Asfaw Zegeye, Yi Zhao, Maigeng Zhou, Sanjay Zodpey, David Zonies, Christopher J L Murray
Notice bibliographique
RevueThe Lancet · 2016
Typearticle
Langueen
DomaineMedicine
ThématiqueGlobal Maternal and Child Health
Établissements canadiensnon disponible
Organismes subventionnairesMailman School of Public Health, Columbia UniversityNational Institute on Minority Health and Health DisparitiesNational Institute of Environmental Health SciencesNational Human Genome Research InstituteNational Institute on AgingNorwegian Institute of Public HealthSchool of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong UniversityBhabha Atomic Research CentreResearch Institute, Nationwide Children's HospitalFeinberg School of MedicinePerelman School of Medicine, University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel HillNational Institutes of HealthAswan UniversityGeorge Institute for Global HealthChildren's Hospital of MichiganWestern Sydney UniversityUniversidade Federal de SergipeINCLIVA Instituto de Investigación SanitariaUniversity of Health and Allied SciencesFakultet Medicinskih Nauka, Univerziteta U KragujevcuAlfaisal UniversityUniversity of GondarUniversidade Federal de Minas GeraisSchool of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape TownUniversità degli Studi di SalernoUniversidade do PortoCentro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Salud MentalUniversidad de la República UruguayShahid Beheshti University of Medical SciencesBaqiyatallah University of Medical SciencesUniversitat de BarcelonaGöteborgs UniversitetUniversität BielefeldNational Yang-Ming UniversityUniversidad de Costa RicaShanghai Jiao Tong UniversityHaramaya UniversitySichuan UniversityInyuvesi Yakwazulu-NataliUniversidad Autónoma de MadridUniversiteit StellenboschAddis Ababa UniversityUniversidad Autónoma MetropolitanaUniversity of Oklahoma Health Sciences CenterKorea Health Industry Development InstituteUniversitat de ValènciaDepartment for International DevelopmentDalhousie UniversityKorea UniversityHacettepe ÜniversitesiKosin UniversitySun Yat-sen UniversityErasmus Universiteit RotterdamMuhimbili University of Health and Allied SciencesUniversity of Southern QueenslandQueensland University of TechnologyJames Cook UniversityLaboratório Associado para a Química VerdeOklahoma State UniversityFlinders UniversityInternational Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, BangladeshMonash UniversityCase Western Reserve UniversityUniversity of SydneyUniversità degli Studi di PerugiaRijksuniversiteit GroningenPublic Health EnglandWageningen University and ResearchPublic Health Foundation of IndiaIndian Council of Medical ResearchArkansas State UniversitySwansea UniversityKyung Hee UniversityUniversitair Medisch Centrum GroningenAustralian National UniversityUniversity of East AngliaNational Institute for Health and Care ResearchAhmadu Bello UniversityUniversity of SouthamptonIstituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri - IRCCSNational Drug and Alcohol Research CentreYonsei UniversityBirzeit UniversityRobert Koch InstitutIran University of Medical SciencesSree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and TechnologyImperial College LondonKing's College LondonBrien Holden Vision InstituteMinistry of Health of the Russian FederationHáskólinn í ReykjavíkFundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São PauloUniversity of AberdeenNational Taiwan UniversityTehran University of Medical Sciences and Health ServicesUniversity of OklahomaMount Sinai Health SystemJordan University of Science and TechnologyNational Cerebral and Cardiovascular CenterUniversity of California, San DiegoUniversidade Federal de Santa CatarinaNational Health Research InstitutesUniversity of West FloridaNational Cancer InstituteSeoul National UniversityLahore College for Women UniversityUniversity of Massachusetts BostonUniversidade Federal do Rio Grande do SulCentral South UniversityUniversity Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation TrustArabian Gulf UniversityDeakin UniversityNationwide Children's HospitalRensselaer Polytechnic InstituteHelsingin YliopistoOttawa Hospital Research InstituteRussian Academy of SciencesJohns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public HealthUniversity of RochesterAuckland University of Technology, New ZealandUniversity of OtagoUniversity of LouisvilleUniversity of New South WalesMedical Center, University of RochesterUniversity of PittsburghBrandeis UniversityGolestan University of Medical SciencesAmerican University of BeirutMedical Research CouncilDurban University of TechnologyUniversity of Cape TownUniversity of OttawaRede de Química e TecnologiaAcademy of Medical SciencesSandia National LaboratoriesUniversity of PeradeniyaWashington State UniversityNorth-West UniversityUniversitetet i BergenSimmons CollegeErasmus Universitair Medisch Centrum RotterdamSouth African Medical Research CouncilInternational Medical UniversityWellcome TrustJohns Hopkins UniversitySchool of Medicine, Wayne State UniversityUniversity of HaifaWayne State UniversityBanaras Hindu UniversityChildren's Hospital of PhiladelphiaStrongHamad Medical CorporationMassachusetts General HospitalAlborz University of Medical SciencesNorthwestern UniversityUniversidad Nacional de ColombiaUniversity of MissouriRMIT UniversityNational Center for Child Health and DevelopmentUnited Arab Emirates UniversityEmory UniversityUniversity of PennsylvaniaSoonchunhyang UniversityBall State UniversityUnited Nations Population FundUniversität UlmCalifornia Air Resources BoardHomi Bhabha National InstituteHospital de Clínicas de Porto AlegreNova Southeastern UniversityVirginia Commonwealth UniversityBrown UniversityArak University of Medical SciencesUniversità degli Studi di MilanoNorthumbria UniversityUnited States Agency for International DevelopmentGeorge Mason UniversityCurtin University of TechnologyUniversiteit GentBill and Melinda Gates FoundationUniversidade Federal de PelotasIndian Institute of Technology RoparU.S. Department of Health and Human ServicesKoch Institute for Integrative Cancer Research, Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyAarhus UniversitetTrường Đại học Duy TânMinistry of Health and Medical EducationWorld Health Organization
Mots-clésMillennium Development GoalsIndex (typography)Global healthSustainable developmentHealth indicatorScale (ratio)MedicineStatisticsEnvironmental healthGeographyDemographyDeveloping countryPublic healthPopulationEconomic growthMathematicsEconomicsPolitical scienceComputer scienceCartography
Résumé
BACKGROUND: In September, 2015, the UN General Assembly established the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The SDGs specify 17 universal goals, 169 targets, and 230 indicators leading up to 2030. We provide an analysis of 33 health-related SDG indicators based on the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2015 (GBD 2015). METHODS: We applied statistical methods to systematically compiled data to estimate the performance of 33 health-related SDG indicators for 188 countries from 1990 to 2015. We rescaled each indicator on a scale from 0 (worst observed value between 1990 and 2015) to 100 (best observed). Indices representing all 33 health-related SDG indicators (health-related SDG index), health-related SDG indicators included in the Millennium Development Goals (MDG index), and health-related indicators not included in the MDGs (non-MDG index) were computed as the geometric mean of the rescaled indicators by SDG target. We used spline regressions to examine the relations between the Socio-demographic Index (SDI, a summary measure based on average income per person, educational attainment, and total fertility rate) and each of the health-related SDG indicators and indices. FINDINGS: =0·79). Between 2000 and 2015, the health-related SDG index improved by a median of 7·9 (IQR 5·0-10·4), and gains on the MDG index (a median change of 10·0 [6·7-13·1]) exceeded that of the non-MDG index (a median change of 5·5 [2·1-8·9]). Since 2000, pronounced progress occurred for indicators such as met need with modern contraception, under-5 mortality, and neonatal mortality, as well as the indicator for universal health coverage tracer interventions. Moderate improvements were found for indicators such as HIV and tuberculosis incidence, minimal changes for hepatitis B incidence took place, and childhood overweight considerably worsened. INTERPRETATION: GBD provides an independent, comparable avenue for monitoring progress towards the health-related SDGs. Our analysis not only highlights the importance of income, education, and fertility as drivers of health improvement but also emphasises that investments in these areas alone will not be sufficient. Although considerable progress on the health-related MDG indicators has been made, these gains will need to be sustained and, in many cases, accelerated to achieve the ambitious SDG targets. The minimal improvement in or worsening of health-related indicators beyond the MDGs highlight the need for additional resources to effectively address the expanded scope of the health-related SDGs. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.
Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction machine sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,006
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,010
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Catégories candidatesaucune
Catégories consensuellesaucune
DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune
Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Observationnel · Signal consensuel: Observationnel
GenreSignal candidat: Empirique · Signal consensuel: Empirique
Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,024
Score d'incertitude au seuil0,048
Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,006 | 0,010 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,002 | 0,005 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Communication savante | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Science ouverte | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,000 | 0,001 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,001 | 0,001 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
Tête enseignante Opus0,025
Tête enseignante GPT0,301
Écart entre enseignants0,276 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail
Statut de validation
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.
Les modèles n’ont appliqué aucune catégorie : rien dans la taxonomie ne correspondait à ce travail.
Devis d'étudeObservationnel
Domainenon disponible
GenreEmpirique
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».
En bref
Citations625
Publié2016
Routes d'admission1
Résumé présentoui