Notice bibliographique
Résumé
Dear Sir or Madam: I am a scholar of macroeconomics, and now studying at the school of economics of Peking University in PRC. Although there is much to do to develop the education, academicians and students are active thinkers and raised many interesting questions. I followed some of the issue and proposed my own idea. As for the monetary transmission mechanism, many theories do not tell us the route from one static equilibrium point to another. Some academicians argue that the mechanism is like camera bellows, and we cannot and need not know the process. But we should at least prove that the economy is able to transmit from one point to another.. The cobweb model in microeconomics shows that although the equilibrium point is determined by the intersection of the supply curve and demand curve. However, after a shock to the supply, the economy will not always result in a convergent point, and even bounds larger and larger round the equilibrium. Statistics shows that although the economy sometimes fluctuates sharply around the equilibrium, it will generally become stable, and such cases as the out-of -equilibrium never exist for long. I think the problem partly lies in the assumption. The model implies that everyone must behave rigidly. In fact, individuals are unpredictable, and a mathematical model cannot simplify their behavioral. Moreover, some academicians made similar misleading deduction of the monetary transmission mechanism. Deduction 1 shows their theory. I personally think that although the multiplier theory is a wonderful tool to help us explain the change of economy, it also set our students` minds in a rigid way of thinking. I developed an alternative deduction, and designed a computer program, which may demonstrate the whole transmission process and strengthen my argument. I hope my argument can give our students a new idea, though it does not fully resolve the problem. During my study, I consulted several macroeconomists. Ben S. Bernanke, the Howard Harrison and Gabrielle Snyder Beck Professor of Economics and Public Affairs at Princeton University, whom I contacted several times, gave me many valuable suggestions on the flaws of my article. Michael Parkin, professor of the University of Western Ontario, also gave me some terrific ideas. Professor N. Gregory Mankiw, University of Harvard, said that my article involved an issue of out-of-equilibrium IS-LM model, which was far from fully resolved in the economic field. I am really grateful to their help. I hope my article will be published soon so that we can discuss the unresolved issue openly, and call on the students of macroeconomics from all over the world to participate in the debate. Whether you publish it or nor, please notify me soon after a decision is made Address: building 38, Room 409, Peking University, Beijing, PRC.
Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.
Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction machine sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.
Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,002 | 0,006 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,002 | 0,001 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,002 | 0,004 |
| Communication savante | 0,003 | 0,007 |
| Science ouverte | 0,001 | 0,002 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,003 | 0,002 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,019 | 0,002 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».