Abstract P4-12-05: Cost-effectiveness analysis of second-generation multi-gene expression prognostic assays compared with the standard 21-gene recurrence score assay to guide adjuvant therapy decisions in women with early stage breast cancer
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
Abstract Second-generation multi-gene expression assays can generate comprehensive molecular risk scores which may inform adjuvant chemotherapy decisions in women with early breast cancer. The 12-gene EPclin score assay (EndoPredict®) and 50-gene PAM50-risk of recurrence (ROR) score assay (Prosigna®) appeared to have better prognostic value when compared to the current north American standard 21-gene recurrence score (RS) assay (Oncotype DX®). We sought to investigate the cost-effectiveness of using EPclin and ROR score assays versus RS assay in women with axillary lymph node-negative (LN−), hormone receptor–positive (HR+), and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2–negative (HER2−) early-stage operable breast cancer (ESBC) from the perspective of the Canadian public healthcare system. We developed a Markov model to project the lifetime clinical and economic consequences of operable LN- HR+ HER2− ESBC. We assumed that women within each risk category by RS assay (low, intermediate and high) would be reclassified to binary risk categories (low and high) by EPclin score assay and to three risk categories (low, intermediate and high) by ROR score assay. The decision model was parameterized using 10-year follow up data from retrospective analyses of the Arimidex, Tamoxifen, Alone or in Combination (ATAC) trial, cost data from the London Regional Cancer Program (Ontario, Canada) and secondary sources. Costs are presented in 2017 Canadian dollars. Future costs and benefits were discounted at 5%. EPclin and ROR score-based strategies led to an increase of 0.04 and 0.02 quality adjusted life years (QALY)/person and a decrease in cost of $917 and $600/person respectively, resulting in both strategies being cost-saving compared to RS-based strategy. Incorporating the EPclin and ROR score assays in place of the current standard RS-assay for operable LN- HR+ HER2− ESBC patients in Canada would result in total gains of 469 and 250 QALYs/year and total savings of $11.5 and $7.5 million/year, respectively. EPclin compared to ROR score-based strategy led to an increase of 0.02 QALY/person and a decrease in cost of $317/person, resulting in EPclin score-based strategy being dominant. Our results were most sensitive to the proportion of women classified by EPclin and ROR score assays to different risk categories and who received adjuvant chemotherapy. A value-of-information analysis revealed that the total expected value of perfect information about the EPclin and ROR score assays' clinical impact was $95 and $55 million/year, respectively. Our results indicate that the EPclin and ROR score assays are both clinically and economically attractive for patients with operable LN- HR+ HER2− ESBC in the Canadian healthcare setting. Both assays should be considered for adoption in place of the current standard RS-assay for this patient population. The EPclin compared to the ROR score assay appears to be clinically more promising and provides greater value for money in the Canadian healthcare system. Field evaluations of the EPclin and ROR score assays in real-world Canadian clinical practice are associated with a large societal benefit and warranted. Citation Format: Hannouf MB, Zaric GS, Brackstone M. Cost-effectiveness analysis of second-generation multi-gene expression prognostic assays compared with the standard 21-gene recurrence score assay to guide adjuvant therapy decisions in women with early stage breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2017 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2017 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2018;78(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P4-12-05.
Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.
Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction machine sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.
Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,011 | 0,024 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,002 | 0,002 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,000 | 0,001 |
| Communication savante | 0,002 | 0,001 |
| Science ouverte | 0,002 | 0,001 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,001 | 0,002 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,005 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».