Refugees and Forced Displacement: Challenges for the Military Planner
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
In 2009, conflict, violence and the fear of governmental persecution caused over forty-three million people worldwide, equivalent to the population of Canada, to leave their homes and seek safety elsewhere. Twenty-seven million displaced within their countries' borders. The remaining fifteen million were refugees. They crossed international borders and entered a new country in order to seek safety. The conditions that produce refugees, inter and intra-state conflict, violence and persecution have always existed and will continue into the future. Events within the last twenty years have shown that humanitarian measures alone are seldom enough to stabilize the environment, end the violence and reverse the conditions that produce large numbers of refugees. Where wide spread conflict, violence and persecution exist, more severe interventions such as military action may be necessary to stop the violence. For this reason, planners within the United States Department of Defense can expect to be involved with refugees. It is nothing new. Since the Second World War, American forces have assisted many groups: Hmong from Vietnam (1970s), Cuban asylum seekers (1980s), Haitian boat people (1990s), Iraqis after Desert Storm, and refugees from the Balkan conflicts (1990s). It should be obvious that American military officers, especially those in the military police and civil affairs field, should expect to help plan and administer such efforts in the future. Therefore, what are the critical factors planners should consider when directed to conduct operations in response to a refugee crisis? The list of tasks and considerations is long. Often they cross physical, jurisdictional and intellectual boundaries. This monograph will focus on six of the most important considerations that affect refugee situations. They include the role of refugee law, specifically, the Geneva Convention, the 1951 United Nations Convention Relating to the Status of Refugees, the 1967 Protocol Relating to the Status of Refugees, and United States law. Planners must also understand the role of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees during refugee crisis. They must consider the role that the media has in influencing the public's opinion and foreign policy with regard to refugees and refugee crises. The next consideration is the long-term resolution of the refugee problem through repatriation, integration or resettlement programs. Planners also need to consider the physical and psychological effects of victimization on the refugees. Finally, the planner needs to understand the effect of refugees on the receiving nation in terms of fear, economic impacts and security. This paper argues that these issues can be grouped into three broad areas when planning operations. These include institutional factors, international factors, and finally, psychological and social factors. The object of these considerations is to provide our forces with an effective, workable, concept of resolving refugee displacement. The goal for the military planner is to assist his, or her, commander in returning the affected region to a stable state as quickly as possible.
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Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier
Prédiction machine sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.
Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,014 | 0,030 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,002 | 0,002 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,002 | 0,002 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,019 | 0,012 |
| Communication savante | 0,012 | 0,016 |
| Science ouverte | 0,005 | 0,018 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,017 | 0,028 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,024 | 0,006 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».