Hydraulic fracturing induced hybrid earthquakes in the Montney Basin, British Columbia, Canada may mark the transition from aseismic slip near the wellbore to seismic slip at greater distances
Notice bibliographique
Résumé
Seismicity related to fluid injection during unconventional oil and gas exploration has increased dramatically in North America in the last decade. The Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin experienced a significant increase in the number of M3+ earthquakes, including several M4+ associated with high-pressure stimulation during Hydraulic Fracturing (HF) activity. The vigorous seismic response to injection activity and low historical seismicity rates pose critical questions as to the triggering mechanism(s) and seismic hazard assessment in the affected areas. To monitor seismicity linked to injection, a dense local network of eight broadband seismic stations was installed in 2015 at distances of ~2 km around an active well pad with the purpose of monitoring seismicity prior to, and following, a HF well stimulation in the Montney Play in British Columbia, Canada. Here we present an earthquake source process study using observations from the local station network, and provide evidence for a slow-rupture seismic signal which may bridge the spectrum of fault slip rates from aseismic near the well bore, to typical seismic velocities at distances beyond ~1 km. Initial detection and relocation of seismicity between May 28 – October 15, 2015 yielded 350 well-constrained hypocenters of high-frequency events with a maximum magnitude of Mw 1.8 that resemble typical tectonically generated earthquakes. The detection procedure also yielded a total of 31 events with high-frequency (or broadband) onsets, that transition to protracted, low-frequency ringing relative to event magnitude, which we term hybrids. Both hybrid and high-frequency events occur at similar depths to the active well bore and at distances of ~1-2 km from injection stages, yet exhibit varying source characteristics in spite of their proximal source volumes. Hybrid waveforms are marked by broader P- and S-wave arrival pulse shapes, and spectral fitting suggests that the stress drop values are roughly an order of magnitude lower than high-frequency events, with average static stress drop values of 0.3 MPa and 4.9 MPa, respectively. We interpret wider phase arrival pulse widths and lower stress drop values as resulting from lower rupture velocities of hybrid events relative to high-frequency events. A dilatant strengthening effect would be expected in close proximity to the well bore, and near the hybrid sources, where material is weaker and pore pressures are elevated, which may result in slower rupture propagation when slip is initiated relative to further distances where material damage and pore pressure perturbation are both lower. Thus, hybrid earthquakes may mark regions where slip velocities transition from aseismic sliding directly next to the well bore, which has been observed in laboratory and meso-scale experiments, to typical seismic velocities at further distances. The size-duration scaling of the induced hybrids observed here also extends the scaling of slow earthquakes occurring in tectonic fault transition zones, and may provide the first observations to extend the scaling down to seismic moment values of ~1010.
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Prédiction machine sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Le volet Gemma est une étiquette directe du modèle pour chaque travail de la base, lue sur la notice réduite au titre. Le volet Codex est un classifieur appris des 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et calibré sur les taux pondérés de l'échantillon; les champs sans appui suffisant ne portent aucun appel Codex. Le mode candidate est l'union des deux volets; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont pas des étiquettes humaines.
Scores du classifieur distillé par catégorie (deux têtes)
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,001 | 0,002 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,002 | 0,001 |
| Communication savante | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Science ouverte | 0,000 | 0,001 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,002 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule source (Gemma direct ou Codex distillé), pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».