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Enregistrement W3215629544 · doi:10.1016/j.jadohealth.2021.07.001

Child Marriage in the United States: Prevalence and Implications

2021· article· en· W3215629544 sur OpenAlexfundaboutno aff
Fraidy Reiss

Notice bibliographique

RevueJournal of Adolescent Health · 2021
Typearticle
Langueen
DomaineSocial Sciences
ThématiqueDemographic Trends and Gender Preferences
Établissements canadiensnon disponible
Organismes subventionnairesMcGill UniversityBill and Melinda Gates Foundation
Mots-clésDemographyPsychologyMedicineEnvironmental healthSociology

Résumé

récupéré en direct d'OpenAlex

While American foreign policy deems child marriage a “human rights abuse” and calls on other countries to eliminate it [[1]U.S. State DepartmentUnited States strategy to empower adolescent girls.https://2009-2017.state.gov/documents/organization/254904.pdfDate: 2016Date accessed: August 19, 2021Google Scholar], many Americans remain unaware of the prevalence of child marriage in their own country [[2]Lawson D.W. Lynes R. Morris A. Schaffnit S.B. What does the American public know about child marriage?.PLoS One. 2020; 15: e0238346Crossref PubMed Scopus (7) Google Scholar]. One possible explanation for this lack of awareness is that previous studies of American child marriage have been stymied by inadequate recordkeeping. The present study was the first to use various estimation methods to fill the data gaps. We found that nearly 300,000 children married in the United States (U.S.) between 2000 and 2018. No central repository in the U.S. collects marriage-age data from all 50 states. Retrieving marriage-certificate data from each state individually and compiling the results is the best alternative, but not all states systematically track or make available these data. In 2017, I published Unchained At Last's findings on the number of children married in the U.S. between 2000 and 2010, calculated from 38 states' marriage-certificate data plus estimates for the other 12 states based solely on the correlation between each of the 38 states' population and number of children married [[3]Reiss F. Why can 12-year-olds still get married in the United States? Washington Post.https://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2017/02/10/why-does-the-united-states-still-let-12-year-old-girls-get-marriedDate: 2020Date accessed: August 19, 2021Google Scholar]. The Public Broadcasting Service's Frontline later expanded on this study, adding data through 2015 and for a few more states, but did not fill in the gaps left by missing or partial state data [[4]Tsui A. Nolan D. Amico C. Child marriage in America: By the numbers. PBS Frontline.http://apps.frontline.org/child-marriage-by-the-numbersDate: 2017Date accessed: August 19, 2021Google Scholar]. For our latest study, Unchained partnered with Quest Research & Investigations, Kroll, Quantitative Analysis, and McGill University. We retrieved marriage-certificate data from 32 states that showed the age or age ranges of all individuals married each year between 2000 and 2018. For 10 other states and the District of Columbia, we used marriage-certificate data that were available for some or most of those years to project the numbers for the missing years. For two additional states (Nevada and Arizona), we retrieved full marriage-certificate data from one county or a pair of counties that represented at least two-thirds of the state population. To estimate the number of children married in the remaining six states and the remaining section of Nevada and Arizona, we looked for correlations between available marriage-age data in other states and variables in the American Community Survey, the U.S. Census Bureau's demographics survey program. We identified a strong correlation of .88 when we combined two American Community Survey variables: already-married individuals aged 15–17 years (they were married, divorced, widowed, or separated) and divorced or separated individuals aged 18–24 years. We found that some 297,033 children were married in the U.S. between 2000 and 2018: 232,474 based on marriage-certificate data plus 64,559 based on estimates (Table 1). A few children were as young as 10 years when they married, but of those for whom age information was available, nearly all—96%—were aged 16 or 17 years. Of those for whom age, gender, and spousal information was available, 78% were girls (under 18 years of age) wed to adult men (aged 18 years or older). The national number of children wed decreased each year—from 76,396 in 2000 to 2,493 in 2018 (Table 2)—but is unlikely to get to zero without legislative intervention.Table 1U.S. child marriage by stateStateNumber of minors wed between 2000 and 2018 (actual + estimated)Per capita rate of child marriage 2000–2018 (actual + estimated)RankingNevadaaData based partially or wholly on estimates.17,403.671%1Idaho5,160.338%2Arkansas8,458.295%3Kentucky11,251.262%4OklahomaaData based partially or wholly on estimates.8,495.229%5Wyoming1,239.227%6UtahaData based partially or wholly on estimates.5,600.208%7Alabama9,166.195%8West Virginia3,532.193%9Mississippi5,360.182%10New MexicoaData based partially or wholly on estimates.3,593.180%11TexasaData based partially or wholly on estimates.41,774.169%12Tennessee9,783.156%13ArizonaaData based partially or wholly on estimates.8,795.141%14North CarolinaaData based partially or wholly on estimates.12,637.136%15Missouri8,007.135%16South Carolina5,443.120%17Alaska808.116%18LouisianaaData based partially or wholly on estimates.5,106.112%19Kansas3,028.107%20Georgia10,123.107%21Colorado5,316.107%22South Dakota809.100%23Virginia7,849.100%24OregonaData based partially or wholly on estimates.3,591.095%25Florida17,274.093%26IndianaaData based partially or wholly on estimates.5,086.079%27WashingtonaData based partially or wholly on estimates.4,831.073%28Nebraska1,265.070%29CaliforniaaData based partially or wholly on estimates.23,588.064%30MaineaData based partially or wholly on estimates.810.061%31Maryland3,469.061%32Hawaii795.059%33IllinoisaData based partially or wholly on estimates.7,540.059%34Wisconsin2,985.053%35Michigan5,259.053%36Montana469.048%37Iowa1,356.045%38North Dakota306.045%39Vermont272.044%40Ohio4,995.043%41Connecticut1,203.034%42New Jersey2,225.025%43New YorkaData based partially or wholly on estimates.4,890.025%44Delaware219.025%45PennsylvaniaaData based partially or wholly on estimates.3,052.024%46MinnesotaaData based partially or wholly on estimates.1,118.021%47Massachusetts1,246.019%48Rhode IslandaData based partially or wholly on estimates.171.016%49New Hampshire206.016%50District of ColumbiaaData based partially or wholly on estimates.77.013%51Total297,033a Data based partially or wholly on estimates. Open table in a new tab Table 2U.S. child marriage by yearYearMinors wed (actual + estimated)200076,396200135,809200220,542200318,867200417,033200516,871200614,191200712,710200811,421200910,32520109,102201122,36120126,96220135,93320144,94320154,27520163,69520173,10420182,493Total297,033 Open table in a new tab The 232,474 is almost certainly an undercount because of data anomalies and gaps. For example, one state withheld all counts less than 10 (such as if nine 17-year-olds married 20-year-olds one year), potentially hiding thousands of additional child marriages, and another state acknowledged it had randomly and irretrievably deleted data on children married before the age of 15 years in most years. Unlike in countries such as India where child marriage persists despite laws to prevent it, the problem in the U.S. is the laws themselves. Marriage before 18 years of age remains legal in 44 of 50 U.S. states, and the six states and three territories that have banned child marriage did so only in the last 3 years [5Delaware. HB337.https://legis.delaware.gov/BillDetail?LegislationId=26363Date: 2018Date accessed: February 27, 2021Google Scholar, 6New Jersey. S427.https://www.njleg.state.nj.us/2018/Bills/AL18/42_.HTMDate: 2018Date accessed: February 27, 2021Google Scholar, 7Marriage Licenses, Rhode Island, RI H5387, 15-2-11. 2021.Google Scholar, 8U.S. Virgin Islands. Bill No. 33-109.https://www.legvi.org/billtracking/Detail.aspx?docentry=27003Date: 2020Date accessed: February 27, 2021Google Scholar, 9Pennsylvania. HB360.https://www.legis.state.pa.us/cfdocs/billInfo/billInfo.cfm?sYear=2019&sInd=0&body=H&type=B&bn=0360Date: 2020Date accessed: February 27, 2021Google Scholar, 10Minnesota. HF745.https://www.revisor.mn.gov/bills/bill.php?f=HF745&y=2019&ssn=0&b=houseDate: 2020Date accessed: February 27, 2021Google Scholar, 11Puerto Rico. PC1654.https://sutra.oslpr.org/osl/esutra/MedidaReg.aspx?rid=124126Date: 2020Date accessed: February 27, 2021Google Scholar, 12Rhode Island. H5387. 2021Google Scholar, 13New York. S3086. Available at: https://www.nysenate.gov/legislation/bills/2021/s3086. Accessed July 22, 2021.Google Scholar]. Child marriage is as damaging in the U.S. as it is across the globe. Minors—even highly mature 17-year-olds—have limited legal rights and therefore can easily be forced into marriage or forced to stay in an unwanted marriage [[3]Reiss F. Why can 12-year-olds still get married in the United States? Washington Post.https://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2017/02/10/why-does-the-united-states-still-let-12-year-old-girls-get-marriedDate: 2020Date accessed: August 19, 2021Google Scholar]. Furthermore, the devastating impacts of child marriage in the U.S. make it as much a “human rights abuse” as anywhere else. Girls in the U.S. who marry in their teens are more likely to drop out of high school, never graduate from college, and end up living in poverty [[14]Dahl G.B. Early teen marriage and future poverty.Demography. 2010; 47: 689-718Crossref PubMed Scopus (75) Google Scholar], and they are at greater risk of psychiatric disorders [[15]Le Strat Y. Dubertret C. Le Foll B. Child marriage in the United States and its association with mental health in women.Pediatrics. 2011; 128: 524-530Crossref PubMed Scopus (83) Google Scholar]. Child marriage also undermines statutory rape laws. A forthcoming study using our data set shows at least 34,943–40,224 marriages since 2000 occurred at an age or with a spousal age difference that should have constituted a sex crime under the relevant state's law [[16]Koski A, Van Roost K, Horn M. Child marriage or statutory rape? J Adolesc Health. doi: 10.1016/j.jadohealth.2021.10.023.Google Scholar]. In about 80% of those marriages, sex between the parties became legal with the issuance of the marriage license under state law that specifically allowed sex within marriage what would otherwise be considered statutory rape. Each of those marriage licenses became a “get out of jail free” card. In the other 20% of those cases, the marriage was legal under state law, but sex within the marriage was a crime. With each of those marriage licenses, the state sent a child home to be raped. These numbers, too, are almost certainly an undercount, because many states did not provide enough data for the analysis. California, for example, did not provide any marriage-age data and therefore was excluded from the analysis, but 100% of the 23,588 children we estimated were married there between 2000 and 2018 could have been included. Sex with anyone younger than 18 years is considered rape in California unless the perpetrator first marries the child [[17]California Penal Code § 261.5.https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/codes_displaySection.xhtml?lawCode=PEN&sectionNum=261.5Date accessed: February 28, 2021Google Scholar]. The world cannot keep its promise to end child marriage by year 2030 [[18]United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 5.3: Eliminate all harmful practices, such as child, early and forced marriage and female genital mutilation.https://sdgs.un.org/goals/goal5Date accessed: August 19, 2021Google Scholar] if we continue to ignore the hundreds of thousands of children marrying in the U.S. Every U.S. state and territory must pass legislation to do what we demand from the rest of the world: End child marriage. Partners for this study included Quest Research & Investigations, Kroll, Quantitative Analysis, and McGill University.

Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.

Comment cette classification a été obtenuedéplier

Prédiction distillée sur la base complète

Imitation des enseignants

Ni prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,002
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Catégories candidatesaucune
Catégories consensuellesaucune
DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune
Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Observationnel · Signal consensuel: Observationnel
GenreSignal candidat: Empirique · Signal consensuel: Empirique
Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,329
Score d'incertitude au seuil0,228

Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie

CatégorieCodexGemma
Métarecherche0,0020,000
Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict)0,0000,000
Méta-épidémiologie (sens large)0,0000,000
Bibliométrie0,0000,001
Études des sciences et des technologies0,0000,000
Communication savante0,0000,000
Science ouverte0,0000,000
Intégrité de la recherche0,0000,000
Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)0,0000,000

Scores machine (provisoires)

Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.

Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.

Tête enseignante Opus0,051
Tête enseignante GPT0,358
Écart entre enseignants0,307 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail
Statut de validationscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle

Classification

machine, non validée

Prédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule tête enseignante, pas un consensus.

Les modèles n’ont appliqué aucune catégorie : rien dans la taxonomie ne correspondait à ce travail.
Devis d'étudeObservationnel
Domainenon disponible
GenreEmpirique

Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».

En bref

Citations19
Publié2021
Routes d'admission2
Résumé présentoui

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