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The Changing Seasons: Warm Winds

2002· article· en· W7008608533 sur OpenAlex

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Notice bibliographique

RevueDigital Commons - University of South Florida (University of South Florida) · 2002
Typearticle
Langueen
DomaineEnvironmental Science
ThématiqueScience and Climate Studies
Établissements canadiensnon disponible
Organismes subventionnairesnon disponible
Mots-clésAtmosphere (unit)Field (mathematics)Context (archaeology)Term (time)
DOInon disponible

Résumé

récupéré en direct d'OpenAlex

A balmy fallIt's rare in a season to hear such unanimity from across the temperate reporting regions: from virtually all quarters comes word that warm weather ruled most of the continent north of Mexico almost through November's end, and in many regions, a marked lack of typical cold fronts meant few fallouts or concentrations of migrants over much of the season.Even from off-continent reporting areas, such as Bermuda, the paucity of cold fronts was noted as having substantially reduced the number and diversity of migrants.Despite the late arrivals and lower numbers of migrants in many regions, there was also near-consensus that the season was a very good one for vagrants, virtually everywhere.From Alaska and the Pacific Northwest to the Rockies and Great Plains and Prairie Provinces, through eastern Canada and the northeasterstates--and south through Appalachia, the Southern Great Plains, the Southern Atlantic and Gulf Coasts--the fall season was again unusually warm, with below-average precipitation over much of the continent.The combination of high temperatures and little rain led to near-drought conditions over much of the eastern two-thirds of North America, with notable exceptions.In Ontario, rains in late August and September alleviated dry conditions somewhat; light rains fell then from New York south to Virginia but did little to change bone-dry impoundments: Bombay Hook and Chincoteague refuges had very little habitat for shorebirds, while Conejohela Flats in eastern Pennsylvania produced 27 species.In the drying Upper St. Lawrence River area, mudflats were exposed; but, as in the eastern Great Lakes, the anticipated flocks of shorebirds never materialized.Editors Denault, Bannon, Aubry, and David speculate that the birds might have simply been less concentrated on migration this year.Similar conditions in New England produced excellent shorebirding on Lake Champlain, while Robert Leberman reports that "low water levels and extensive mudflats at many lakes and reservoirs [... ] translated into more than the usual number of interesting shorebird sightings" in Appalachia.Florida's drought situation continued, despite showers from tropical systems.Wisconsin reported above-average rainfall, but only from August, while to the south, the eastern prairies of the Midwest had much rain from August through mid-October.In Missouri, as elsewhere in the western parts of the Middlewestern Prairie Region, habitat for shorebirds and waterfowl dried up, but eastern Indiana had the opposite problem, with the best spots flooded out.A "deluge" hit western Tennessee in late November, but otherwise the Bob and Lucy Duncan note"unremarkable" weather in the Central Southern Region.Texas, in contrast to areas to the east, witnessed heavy rains fuelled by Pacific fronts' clashes with Gulf moisture, at least in the eastern part of the state; West Texas suffered under drought.Despite these localized rains, the drought meant poor food crops over much of the East and Texas, and editors from near and far commented that the low mast production appeared to be linked to low numbers of late-season birds in particular.All talk of global warming aside, even northern Alaska was relatively warm and mild, especially from August until early October, which is news."Although the norm tends to be systematic cooling and snow accumulations following a mid-to late October freeze-up, this year's freeze fell hard and fast after very mild conditions dominated the Region;' writes Thede Tobish.In British Columbia, Donald Cecile documents an unusually mild and "late, late, late" fall, with the transition to cold weather and snow coming abruptly in late November, as was true almost everywhere in the Lower 48 states.New York had its "warmest November since the 1931 Dustbowl and the first snow-free November in 122 years in Buffalo;' according to editors Paxton, Burgiel, and Cutler.Even all the way to the north of Lake Superior, Peder Svingen reports that "November weather Part of a large influx of the species from the Midwest through western New York and Pennsylvania, these Wood Storks made Clyde, New York their fishing ground in late August and September.

Récupéré en direct depuis OpenAlex et désinversé. Les résumés ne sont pas conservés dans cette base de données : les index inversés représentent 8,6 Go des 9,3 Go de texte de la base, et le serveur dispose de 13 Go libres.

Prédiction distillée sur la base complète

Imitation des enseignants

Ni prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.

score de la tête « metaresearch » (Codex)0,000
score de la tête « metaresearch » (Gemma)0,000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aStatut de validation: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Catégories candidatesMéta-épidémiologie (sens strict), Études des sciences et des technologies
Catégories consensuellesaucune
DomaineSignal candidat: aucune · Signal consensuel: aucune
Devis d'étudeSignal candidat: Qualitatif · Signal consensuel: aucune
GenreSignal candidat: Empirique · Signal consensuel: Empirique
Score de désaccord entre enseignants0,638
Score d'incertitude au seuil1,000

Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie

CatégorieCodexGemma
Métarecherche0,0000,000
Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict)0,0000,000
Méta-épidémiologie (sens large)0,0000,000
Bibliométrie0,0000,001
Études des sciences et des technologies0,0020,002
Communication savante0,0000,001
Science ouverte0,0010,001
Intégrité de la recherche0,0000,000
Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger)0,0010,001

Scores machine (provisoires)

Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.

Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.

Tête enseignante Opus0,019
Tête enseignante GPT0,174
Écart entre enseignants0,155 · la distance entre les deux têtes enseignantes sur ce seul travail
Statut de validationscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle