Rwanda Economic Update, July 2012 : Leveraging Regional Integration
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Notice bibliographique
Résumé
Rwanda grew at a rapid rate in the \n second half of 2011, exceeding 10 percent for the first \n time, since the 2009 global economic downturn. Overall, \n Rwanda achieved 8.6 percent growth in 2011, and \n substantially exceeded the average growth for Sub- Saharan \n Africa (SSA) of 5.0 percent. Rwanda also grew fastest than \n all the countries in the East African Community (EAC), which \n as a group reached 6.1 percent in 2011. Robust growth \n continued in the first quarter of 2012, when Rwanda's \n economy expanded at 7.7 percent. Renewed concerns over the \n global growth outlook and of the European debt crisis, might \n negatively affect Rwanda's prospects in 2012/2013, and \n lead to a lower growth turn-out compared to 2011. First \n quarter growth in 2012 remained overall robust, but showed \n considerable weakness in the industry sector. This was in \n contrast to what was observed in the second half of 2011, \n when industrial growth led by buoyant construction, and \n mining activities pushed the sector to the top, ahead of \n services. In the second half of 2011, Rwanda's growth \n momentum accelerated largely led by thriving non-tradable \n goods and services sectors while the manufacturing sector \n continued to be sluggish. The Rwandan economy expanded by \n 10.8 percent during the second half of 2011, but \n manufacturing only contributed 0.5 percentage points to this \n growth outcome. Agricultural output took a leap in the \n second half, mainly due to a very good second harvest season \n outcome. Overall, growth turn-out for 2011 stood at 8.6 \n percent, up from 7.2 percent in 2010. Inflationary pressures \n reappeared in tandem with high international food and fuel \n prices. The small policy response came with a delay, not \n enough to prevent core inflation reaching its highest level \n since mid-2009. Core inflation exceeded headline inflation \n for the whole second half of 2011. The current account \n deficit broadened in 2011. Rwanda's export performed \n robustly, benefiting from high international prices, but \n could not keep up with the increasing import bill, leading \n to a further deterioration in the trade balance. For 2012, \n Rwanda's economy is expected to continue to grow slower \n than it did in 2011, but at a healthy pace. The industrial \n sector is likely to expand less than in 2011 and growth in \n the services sector is expected to be more moderate, both on \n account of a more risky global environment.
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Prédiction distillée sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.
Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,003 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,001 | 0,001 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,001 | 0,000 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,002 | 0,000 |
| Communication savante | 0,003 | 0,000 |
| Science ouverte | 0,005 | 0,003 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,000 | 0,002 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,088 | 0,002 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découle