Rwanda Economic Update, July 2012 : Leveraging Regional Integration
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Rwanda grew at a rapid rate in the \n second half of 2011, exceeding 10 percent for the first \n time, since the 2009 global economic downturn. Overall, \n Rwanda achieved 8.6 percent growth in 2011, and \n substantially exceeded the average growth for Sub- Saharan \n Africa (SSA) of 5.0 percent. Rwanda also grew fastest than \n all the countries in the East African Community (EAC), which \n as a group reached 6.1 percent in 2011. Robust growth \n continued in the first quarter of 2012, when Rwanda's \n economy expanded at 7.7 percent. Renewed concerns over the \n global growth outlook and of the European debt crisis, might \n negatively affect Rwanda's prospects in 2012/2013, and \n lead to a lower growth turn-out compared to 2011. First \n quarter growth in 2012 remained overall robust, but showed \n considerable weakness in the industry sector. This was in \n contrast to what was observed in the second half of 2011, \n when industrial growth led by buoyant construction, and \n mining activities pushed the sector to the top, ahead of \n services. In the second half of 2011, Rwanda's growth \n momentum accelerated largely led by thriving non-tradable \n goods and services sectors while the manufacturing sector \n continued to be sluggish. The Rwandan economy expanded by \n 10.8 percent during the second half of 2011, but \n manufacturing only contributed 0.5 percentage points to this \n growth outcome. Agricultural output took a leap in the \n second half, mainly due to a very good second harvest season \n outcome. Overall, growth turn-out for 2011 stood at 8.6 \n percent, up from 7.2 percent in 2010. Inflationary pressures \n reappeared in tandem with high international food and fuel \n prices. The small policy response came with a delay, not \n enough to prevent core inflation reaching its highest level \n since mid-2009. Core inflation exceeded headline inflation \n for the whole second half of 2011. The current account \n deficit broadened in 2011. Rwanda's export performed \n robustly, benefiting from high international prices, but \n could not keep up with the increasing import bill, leading \n to a further deterioration in the trade balance. For 2012, \n Rwanda's economy is expected to continue to grow slower \n than it did in 2011, but at a healthy pace. The industrial \n sector is likely to expand less than in 2011 and growth in \n the services sector is expected to be more moderate, both on \n account of a more risky global environment.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.005 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.088 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it