Notice bibliographique
Résumé
A Review of Turkey and Arab Spring: Leadership in Middle East By Graham Fuller (Vancouver, BC: Bozorg Press, 2014), 408 pages. As saying goes, history may not repeat itself, but it certainly rhymes. This adage is thrust of much of Graham Fuller's recent book Turkey and Arab Spring: Leadership in Middle East. Early in text, Turkish foreign minister Ahmet Davutoglu describes his nation's resurgence as the return of history, and echoes of Ottoman-era preeminence haunt rest of book. (1) Fuller, a former CIA official, delivers an accessible, well-researched book that explores nuances of an increasingly confident Turkey and its modern ambitions within Middle East. The author traces roots of modern events through Cold War and colonial administration of Sykes-Picot era and into prolonged period of Ottoman decline, when Istanbul's regional influence began to wane. By shading current geopolitics with their historical beginnings, he convincingly explores layers and contradictions of power in Ankara. Fuller is attentive to what Ankara's newfound confidence will not bode for future. Neo-Ottoman assertiveness of Ankara as a regional power likely will not signal rebirth of empire: Regional powers are unlikely to be subjugated as vilayets or vassal states in any meaningful way. The author is also careful to discuss history of Ottoman caliph and, in contrast with anxieties of jittery pundits, why a grand regional caliphate is unlikely to be a meaningful component of an assertive Muslim state, in Turkey or elsewhere. In pursuit of a modern, ostensibly Western state, Mustafa Kemal Atatiirk, first president of Turkey and perhaps most significant figure in birth of country as a post-Ottoman state, dismissed final caliph in 1924. Rather, author argues that Turkey will broaden its engagement with other powers and chart a course following its own interests. This may well occur outside of regional blocs like EU, and author notes that Erdogan's growing assertiveness is broadening his appeal as a potential partner beyond Western world. Turkey s policies will likely be dictated by pursuit of its own geopolitical interests rather than dictates of radical Islam. Although democracy in Turkey is not unassailable, it will likely remain a beacon of stability and freedom in region. Fuller does several things right. He skillfully gives reader a feel for Turkey's recent history without relying on personal anecdotes for flavor. Rather than focusing exclusively on religion, his exploration of tension between West and Middle East examines geopolitics, ethnicity, and economics in same way that made A World Without Islam, his previous work, quite engaging. …
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Prédiction distillée sur la base complète
Imitation des enseignantsNi prévalence calibrée, ni vérité terrain. Validation humaine à venir. Apprise à partir de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Codex et de 10 348 étiquettes directes de Gemma. Le mode candidate est l'union des têtes enseignantes seuillées; le consensus est leur intersection. Ces sorties portent le statut machine_predicted_unvalidated et ne sont ni des étiquettes humaines ni des étiquettes directes de modèles de pointe.
Scores Codex et Gemma par catégorie
| Catégorie | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Métarecherche | 0,002 | 0,001 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens strict) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Méta-épidémiologie (sens large) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Bibliométrie | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Études des sciences et des technologies | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Communication savante | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Science ouverte | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Intégrité de la recherche | 0,000 | 0,000 |
| Charge utile insuffisante (le modèle a refusé de juger) | 0,000 | 0,000 |
Scores machine (provisoires)
Les deux têtes enseignantes du modèle étudiant, lues sur ce travail. Un score ordonne la base pour la relecture; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie, et le statut de validation accompagne chaque rangée tel quel.
Scores de référence d'un modèle non mature (critères de maturité non atteints, 7 itérations). Un score ordonne; il n'affirme jamais une catégorie.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · tel quel depuis la passe de notation : score_only signifie que le nombre peut ordonner les travaux, et qu'aucune étiquette de catégorie n'en découleClassification
machine, non validéePrédiction automatique; un appel candidat d’une seule tête enseignante, pas un consensus.
Le détail, modèle par modèle et score par score, se trouve en fin de page sous « Comment cette classification a été obtenue ».