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Record W1482299360

The Economic Crisis in Relation to the Baltic Sea Coast Recreational Apartment Market

2009· preprint· en· W1482299360 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueRePEc: Research Papers in Economics · 2009
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
Topictransportation and logistics systems
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsApartmentRecreationBaltic seaReal estateInvestment (military)Quarter (Canadian coin)GeographyBusinessEconomyAgricultural economicsEconomicsPolitical scienceFinance
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Polandís Baltic Sea coast is one of the most attractive sections of the Baltic Seaís coastline. It has plenty of resorts renowned throughout Europe, with their beginnings as centres of health and recreation in the 18th century. The coastís mild climate makes it a particularly attractive investment zone, especially in light of global warming and the urban over-development of southern Europeís resort areas. Since the 1990s there has been an increase in traffic of patients and holiday-makers from Western Europe. Residents of other Baltic countries and the Netherlands are particularly numerous. These are mainly middle-aged and older people. With regard to medical, health and recreational services, they have the most buying power, which means that they make up a large portion of the effective demand. The studies conducted on the seaside holiday apartment market by the Investment and Real Estate Faculty of the Pozna- Economic University show that in light of the global economic crisis there has been a deep correction of prices on this market, which will obviously create many investment opportunities on this market. The beginnings of the correction were observed in the fourth quarter of 2008. They relate to a decrease of apartment prices by about 10 per cent ñ 15 per cent, as well as of construction services by about 20 per cent. Based on preliminary study results the authors estimate that in the second half of this year the correction in the prices of newly built apartments and those now being built will amount to 20 per cent ñ 30 per cent, construction services up to 40 per cent, and the prices of land for building holiday apartments from 50 per cent to 70 per cent (counting the price decreases from those of the boom period on the seaside apartment market in 2007 and the first half of 2008). At present there are 15 apartment investments underway on the entire Polish sea coast (within 1 km of the coast line), with a total of 2,291 apartments, including nine investments with a total of about 1,445 apartments in Western Pomerania. Existing, projected and currently constructed lines of communication by land (connected to the German Autobahn system), air (airport in GoleniÛw) and water (ferries to such Baltic ports as Ystad, Copenhagen from -winouj-cie; a water trail from Berlin to the Bay of Szczecin) make Western Pomerania comparable to such Baltic Sea coastal regions as Rostock and Malmˆ.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.008
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.809
Threshold uncertainty score0.827

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0080.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.043
GPT teacher head0.352
Teacher spread0.309 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it