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Record W1524172344

Modeling wildfire regimes in northern North America

2009· article· en· W1524172344 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Yueyang Jiang

Bibliographic record

VenuePurdue e-Pubs (Purdue University System) · 2009
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicFire effects on ecosystems
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsGeographyEnvironmental scienceClimatologyGeology
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Wildfires have a significant impact on climate and ecosystems in Canada and Alaska. Characterizing fire regimes and projecting fire recurrence intervals for different biomes are important in managing those ecosystems and quantifying carbon dynamics of those ecosystems. Wildfires statistics for the conterminous Canada and Alaska are examined in a spatially and temporally explicit manner. The effort in this thesis used Canadian wildfire datasets, 1980–1999, to characterize relationships between number of fires and burned area for 13 ecozones, and to calculate wildfire recurrence intervals for each ecozone, using the parameters of the power-law frequency-area distributions. For the conterminous Canada, we find that: (a) Despite the many complexities concerning their initiation and propagation, wildfires exhibit power-law frequency-area statistics over many orders of magnitude in each ecozone and the whole of Canada; (b) The ratio of number of small to large fires generally increases from north to south of Canada; (c) Human ignition sources have higher probability to cause larger ratio of number of large to small fires; (d) Fire recurrence intervals ranged from 1 to 32 years for burned areas larger than 2 km 2, and from 1 to 100 years for burned areas larger than 10 km 2 in every 10,000 km2 spatial area for each ecozone. The results have a number of practical implications. First, the frequency-area distribution of small and medium fires can be used to quantify the risk of large fires. Second, the behavior of the forest fire model can be used to assess the role of controlled burns to reduce the hazard of very large fires. The findings of this study will also be a benefit to future efforts in quantifying carbon dynamics in Canadian boreal terrestrial ecosystems. Further effort should be put on the impact of fire disturbance on ecosystem structure and carbon dynamics. Interaction between fire and climate also needs much more attention, especially in a global warming period.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.574
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.004
GPT teacher head0.158
Teacher spread0.154 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2009
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venuePurdue e-Pubs (Purdue University System)Same topicFire effects on ecosystemsFrench-language works237,207