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Record W154479688

Change and Consistency in the 2008 Canadian General Election

2009· article· en· W154479688 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Tony L. Hill

Bibliographic record

VenueSSRN Electronic Journal · 2009
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicCanadian Identity and History
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPledgeVictoryOpposition (politics)General electionPolitical scienceGovernment (linguistics)LawConservative governmentPublic administrationPolitical economyPoliticsSociologyPhilosophy
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The Canadian general election of 2008 was not as much a victory for the governing party as it was a defeat for the opposition leader. The Conservative minority government of Stephen Harper elected January 23, 2006 was remarkably resilient; it was the longest uninterrupted minority government in Canadian history. This owed in no small part to the election of Stephane Dion as leader of the Liberal Party at the end of 2006. Dion is widely believed to have been elected because he was the second choice of most of the delegates. He spent most of his brief leadership fighting his adversaries within the party and had little time to prepare a strategy for taking down Harper. This was the opposite of what had occurred during the previous minority government of the Liberals under Paul Martin. From its election on June 28, 2004 until its defeat on November 28, 2005, Martin was ruthlessly shadowed by an official opposition under Harper that doggedly pursued the defeat of the government. On the other hand, Harper actively solicited the defeat of his government, which never happened. Harper was boxed in by a pledge of fixed election dates, which precluded an election before October 2009 without an awkward act of reneging on Harper's part. By the end of August 2008, Harper was apparently more eager to defeat Dion at the polls than he was reluctant to renege on his fixed election dates pledge, and the election was called for October 14.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.008
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.049
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.834
Threshold uncertainty score0.967

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0080.049
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0060.010
Science and technology studies0.0180.004
Scholarly communication0.0080.002
Open science0.0030.004
Research integrity0.0020.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0130.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.014
GPT teacher head0.232
Teacher spread0.218 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2009
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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